Brazil · Serie A

Mirassol vs Internacional

Kick-off 00:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Mirassol 45.2% Draw 23.0% Internacional 31.8%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 68.2% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 31.8% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Mirassol: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

68.2%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

31.8%

Only the uncovered result loses

Mirassol

L D W D W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Internacional

D W L W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mirassol win45.2%

Draw23.0%

Internacional win31.8%

Over 1.5 goals90.6%

Over 2.5 goals73.7%

Over 3.5 goals53.4%

Both teams to score73.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.5%

Home Team to Score

87.6%

Home Over 0.5

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.1%

Both Halves Over 0.572.2%

Goal in Both Halves72.2%

Home or Draw (1X)67.1%

Draw No Bet - Home58.4%

Draw or Away (X2)53.8%

Home Win46.2%

Draw No Bet - Away41.6%

Away Win32.9%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.5%

Under 5.5 Goals81.1%

Over 2.5 Goals73.6%

Under 4.5 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals55.6%

Over 3.5 Goals53.3%

4+ Goals53.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals46.7%

1-3 Goals44.5%

3-4 Goals39.8%

2-3 Goals36.2%

Over 4.5 Goals33.9%

Under 2.5 Goals26.4%

1-2 Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 5.5 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.9%

Under 1.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.6%

Away Team to Score82.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.4%

Home Win to Nil15.2%

Away Clean Sheet12.4%

Away Win to Nil10.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.6%

Away Over 0.582.6%

Home Over 1.561.7%

Away Over 1.552.1%

Home Over 2.534.7%

Home 3+ Goals34.7%

Away Exactly 130.4%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 125.9%

Away Over 2.525.5%

Away 3+ Goals25.5%

Away Exactly 017.4%

Home Exactly 012.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 213.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.8%

Home to win by 3+12.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.7%

Away to win by 29.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.8%

Away to win by 3+6.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.4%

Home & Over 2.537.0%

Home & BTTS30.9%

Away & Over 2.525.8%

Away & BTTS22.6%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.4%

Home & No BTTS15.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Away & No BTTS10.2%

Draw & Under 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & Under 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.2%

HT Over 1.551.5%

HT Under 1.548.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT Home Win37.5%

HT Draw33.6%

HT Both Teams Score33.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Home/Home29.1%

HT Away Win29.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Away/Away19.8%

HT Under 0.517.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners81.1%

Under 10.5 Corners71.6%

Under 9.5 Corners59.8%

Over 8.5 Corners53.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Away Most Corners48.8%

Under 8.5 Corners46.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.0%

Over 9.5 Corners40.2%

Home Most Corners37.8%

Over 10.5 Corners28.4%

Over 11.5 Corners18.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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