Brazil · Serie A

Mirassol vs Palmeiras

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Mirassol 14.9% Draw 15.0% Palmeiras 70.1%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Palmeiras: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Mirassol

D L L W D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

Palmeiras

W L D W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mirassol win14.9%

Draw15.0%

Palmeiras win70.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.4%

Over 3.5 goals73.2%

Both teams to score78.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.4%

HT Over 0.5

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.3%

Draw or Away (X2)84.0%

Both Halves Over 0.583.7%

Goal in Both Halves83.7%

Draw No Bet - Away82.1%

Away Win70.0%

Home or Draw (1X)29.2%

Draw No Bet - Home17.9%

Home Win15.3%

Draw14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals86.7%

Over 3.5 Goals72.6%

4+ Goals72.6%

Under 5.5 Goals62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals55.1%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals44.9%

2-4 Goals40.1%

Over 5.5 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals31.6%

Under 3.5 Goals27.4%

1-3 Goals25.9%

2-3 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Under 2.5 Goals13.3%

1-2 Goals11.8%

Exactly 2 Goals8.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score79.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.0%

Away Clean Sheet19.4%

Away Win to Nil18.7%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.584.1%

Home Over 0.579.8%

Away Over 2.564.5%

Away 3+ Goals64.5%

Home Over 1.548.2%

Home Exactly 131.7%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Over 2.522.3%

Home 3+ Goals22.3%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 019.4%

Away Exactly 111.7%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.4%

Away to win by 3+34.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 18.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.2%

Home to win by 24.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.3%

Away & Over 2.563.9%

Away & BTTS51.3%

Away & No BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%

Home & Over 2.513.3%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Home & BTTS12.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.56.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Home & No BTTS2.8%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Over 1.565.7%

HT Away Win55.8%

HT/FT Away/Away49.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score40.6%

HT Under 1.534.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.0%

HT Home Win18.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.5%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT/FT Home/Home8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners72.0%

Over 8.5 Corners64.3%

Under 10.5 Corners60.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners58.8%

Over 9.5 Corners51.6%

Away Most Corners50.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.1%

Under 9.5 Corners48.4%

Over 10.5 Corners39.1%

Home Most Corners36.8%

Under 8.5 Corners35.7%

Over 11.5 Corners28.0%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards77.4%

Under 5.5 Cards77.2%

Under 4.5 Cards61.3%

Over 3.5 Cards58.3%

Under 3.5 Cards41.7%

Over 4.5 Cards38.7%

Over 5.5 Cards22.8%

Under 2.5 Cards22.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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