Brazil · Serie A

Mirassol vs Remo

Kick-off 23:30 · Wed, Jul 29

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

74% confidence

Mirassol 74.0% Draw 16.0% Remo 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring probability

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Mirassol home advantage

88%

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate for both teams

63%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Mirassol has a strong home record with 1.5 goals scored per game. Remo concedes 1.7 goals per game away. With key players like Alex Muralha injured for Mirassol, their attack may be weakened. However, Mirassol's home advantage and Remo's away conceding rate make Over 1.5 Goals a strong pick. 5 Goals is the top market due to the high scoring probability of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 91.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring probability

Recent form leans to Mirassol: 11 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

91.1%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Mirassol high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Remo high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Mirassol

D W W L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Remo

W L W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

🏥 Mirassol unavailable

Alex Muralha · Calf Injury

Walter · Yellow Cards

Jose Aldo · Injury

Negueba · Knee Injury

🏥 Remo unavailable

D. Tchamba · Inactive

Joao Lucas · Knee Injury

Patrick de Paula · Groin Injury

Eduardo Melo · Hamstring Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mirassol win74.0%

Draw16.0%

Remo win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals91.1%

Over 2.5 goals75.1%

Over 3.5 goals55.1%

Both teams to score62.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.3%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Home86.7%

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Home Win73.9%

Both Halves Over 0.573.4%

Goal in Both Halves73.4%

Draw or Away (X2)25.8%

Draw14.5%

Draw No Bet - Away13.3%

Away Win11.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals90.0%

Under 5.5 Goals79.9%

Over 2.5 Goals74.9%

Under 4.5 Goals64.5%

Over 3.5 Goals55.0%

4+ Goals55.0%

2-4 Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals45.0%

1-3 Goals42.8%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.5%

2-3 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals25.1%

1-2 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.0%

Away Team to Score65.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.2%

Home Clean Sheet34.2%

Home Win to Nil32.2%

Away Clean Sheet5.7%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.0%

Home Over 1.577.6%

Away Over 0.565.5%

Home Over 2.554.2%

Home 3+ Goals54.2%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 034.2%

Away Over 1.529.0%

Home Exactly 223.4%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 116.4%

Away Over 2.59.4%

Away 3+ Goals9.4%

Home Exactly 05.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.9%

Home to win by 3+33.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 17.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.560.2%

BTTS & Over 2.555.8%

Home & BTTS41.7%

Home & No BTTS32.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.8%

Home & Under 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

Away & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

Away & BTTS7.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.9%

HT Home Win56.7%

HT Over 1.552.8%

HT/FT Home/Home52.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Under 1.547.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw29.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Under 0.517.1%

HT Away Win13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Mirassol

Alex Muralha Calf Injury

Walter Yellow Cards

Jose Aldo Injury

Negueba Knee Injury

Neto Moura Hamstring Injury

Remo

D. Tchamba Inactive

Joao Lucas Knee Injury

Patrick de Paula Groin Injury

Eduardo Melo Hamstring Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Mirassol win10%

Draw45%

Remo win45%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Remo

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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