UEFA Champions League

Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava

Kick-off 17:00 · Tue, Aug 4

📊 Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

88% confidence

Mjallby AIF 47.0% Draw 43.0% Slovan Bratislava 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 12% BTTS - 17%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Low xG

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 57%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Mjallby home strength

85%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Defensive solidity

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Mjallby AIF have a strong home record, with a 100% clean sheet rate in their last 2 matches. Slovan Bratislava have been solid but not spectacular, with a 50% clean sheet rate. The expected goals data suggests a low-scoring match, with Mjallby AIF having a slight edge. Given the low xG and strong defensive records, Under 2.5 Goals is a strong bet. 5 Goals is the top pick due to the teams' defensive strength and low scoring expectations.

💡

Top Tip

Under 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 31.3%, based on the goal model.

Low xG

Numbers behind this Under 2.5 Goals

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

31.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

57%

Market does not fully agree

Mjallby AIF

D W

Form 1-1-0 Goals 3:0 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0

Slovan Bratislava

D W

Form 1-1-0 Goals 3:1 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Mjallby AIF win47.0%

Draw43.0%

Slovan Bratislava win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals33.4%

Over 2.5 goals11.6%

Over 3.5 goals3.1%

Both teams to score16.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

90.3%

Under 2.5 Goals

88.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.7%

Draw No Bet - Home79.4%

Home or Away (12)60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)52.3%

Home Win47.7%

Draw39.9%

Exactly 1 Goal36.4%

Draw No Bet - Away20.6%

Both Halves Over 0.519.2%

Goal in Both Halves19.2%

Away Win12.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.9%

Under 4.5 Goals99.3%

Under 3.5 Goals96.9%

Under 2.5 Goals88.8%

Over 0.5 Goals68.7%

Under 1.5 Goals67.6%

1-3 Goals65.7%

1-2 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Even54.9%

Total Goals Odd45.1%

Over 1.5 Goals32.4%

2-4 Goals31.7%

Under 0.5 Goals31.3%

Exactly 0 Goals31.3%

2-3 Goals29.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.1%

Over 2.5 Goals11.2%

3-4 Goals10.6%

Exactly 3 Goals8.2%

Over 3.5 Goals3.1%

4+ Goals3.1%

Over 4.5 Goals0.7%

Over 5.5 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)85.0%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Team to Score57.8%

Home Win to Nil42.8%

Away Clean Sheet42.2%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)15.0%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Over 0.557.8%

Home Exactly 042.2%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 1.521.4%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Home Over 2.55.7%

Home 3+ Goals5.7%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw30.6%

Home to win by 130.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 212.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 110.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.580.7%

Home & No BTTS42.8%

Draw & Under 2.539.4%

Home & Under 2.538.6%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

Home & Over 2.59.1%

Draw & BTTS8.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

BTTS & Over 2.56.9%

Home & BTTS4.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.4%

Away & Over 2.51.6%

Away & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.590.3%

HT Draw62.4%

HT Under 0.559.3%

Equal Goals Each Half42.6%

HT Over 0.540.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw35.6%

2nd Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win28.8%

HT/FT Home/Home26.4%

1st Half More Goals24.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.7%

HT Over 1.59.7%

HT Away Win8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%

HT/FT Away/Away6.0%

HT Both Teams Score4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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