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UEFA Europa Conference League

ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 13
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
40% confidence
ML Vitebsk 38.9% Draw 21.1% Borac Banja Luka 40.0%
Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 80%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
94%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.
AI verdict (fallback)
Recent form leans to Borac Banja Luka: 6 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.80 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7.2%
Exact-score model probability
ML Vitebsk
L W W L L
Form 2-0-3 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.4
Borac Banja Luka
W D W L D
Form 2-2-1 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.6
Head to head · last 1
ML Vitebsk 0wins ·0 draws ·Borac Banja Luka 1wins
ML Vitebsk 0-1 Borac Banja LukaAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

ML Vitebsk win38.9%
Draw21.1%
Borac Banja Luka win40.0%
Over 1.5 goals94.4%
Over 2.5 goals82.0%
Over 3.5 goals64.8%
Both teams to score80.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
89.3%
Away Over 0.5
89.3%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)
89.0%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)80.4%
Both Halves Over 0.579.0%
Goal in Both Halves79.0%
Draw or Away (X2)60.3%
Home or Draw (1X)59.1%
Draw No Bet - Away50.7%
Draw No Bet - Home49.3%
Away Win40.8%
Home Win39.6%
Draw19.5%
Exactly 1 Goal5.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.7%
Over 1.5 Goals93.5%
Over 2.5 Goals81.9%
Under 5.5 Goals71.3%
Over 3.5 Goals64.8%
4+ Goals64.8%
Under 4.5 Goals54.3%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-4 Goals47.8%
Over 4.5 Goals45.7%
3-4 Goals36.2%
Under 3.5 Goals35.2%
1-3 Goals33.9%
Over 5.5 Goals28.7%
2-3 Goals28.7%
Under 2.5 Goals18.1%
Exactly 3 Goals17.2%
1-2 Goals16.8%
Exactly 2 Goals11.6%
Under 1.5 Goals6.5%
Under 0.5 Goals1.3%
Exactly 0 Goals1.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score89.3%
Home Team to Score88.9%
Both Teams Score (GG)79.4%
No Both Teams Score (NG)20.6%
Away Clean Sheet11.0%
Home Clean Sheet10.6%
Away Win to Nil9.8%
Home Win to Nil9.5%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.589.3%
Home Over 0.588.9%
Away Over 1.565.4%
Home Over 1.564.7%
Away Over 2.538.7%
Away 3+ Goals38.7%
Home Over 2.537.9%
Home 3+ Goals37.9%
Home Exactly 226.8%
Away Exactly 226.7%
Home Exactly 124.3%
Away Exactly 123.8%
Home Exactly 011.0%
Away Exactly 010.6%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.1%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.4%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.1%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.8%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.6%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.5%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.3%
Away to win by 117.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%
Home to win by 117.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.0%
Away to win by 212.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.6%
Home to win by 211.6%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%
Away to win by 3+11.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%
Home to win by 3+10.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.8%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.7%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.573.7%
Away & Over 2.535.2%
Home & Over 2.534.2%
Away & BTTS30.9%
Home & BTTS30.1%
Draw & BTTS18.4%
Draw & Over 2.512.6%
No BTTS & Under 2.512.2%
Away & No BTTS9.8%
Home & No BTTS9.5%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%
Draw & Under 2.57.0%
BTTS & Under 2.55.8%
Away & Under 2.55.6%
Home & Under 2.55.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.586.5%
HT Over 1.559.4%
2nd Half More Goals48.5%
HT Under 1.540.6%
HT Both Teams Score40.0%
HT Away Win35.0%
HT Home Win34.2%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT Draw30.8%
HT/FT Away/Away25.6%
HT/FT Home/Home24.7%
Equal Goals Each Half19.2%
HT Under 0.513.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away11.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%
HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%
HT/FT Home/Away3.9%
HT/FT Away/Home3.8%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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