Italy · Serie B

Modena vs Cesena

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Modena 37.2% Draw 27.0% Cesena 35.8%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Modena

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Modena win37.2%

Draw27.0%

Cesena win35.8%

Over 1.5 goals82.0%

Over 2.5 goals58.4%

Over 3.5 goals36.0%

Both teams to score62.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

82.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

82.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.8%

Home or Draw (1X)62.8%

Draw or Away (X2)61.3%

Both Halves Over 0.560.4%

Goal in Both Halves60.4%

Draw No Bet - Home51.0%

Draw No Bet - Away49.0%

Home Win38.6%

Away Win37.2%

Draw24.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals81.0%

Over 1.5 Goals80.6%

Under 3.5 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.2%

Over 2.5 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.6%

Under 2.5 Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.8%

Over 3.5 Goals36.0%

4+ Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.2%

Under 1.5 Goals19.4%

Over 4.5 Goals19.0%

Over 5.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.4%

Away Team to Score77.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.1%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Win to Nil17.5%

Away Win to Nil16.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 0.577.7%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Away Over 1.544.2%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 119.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 211.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.4%

Home to win by 3+7.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.8%

Away to win by 3+6.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.5%

Home & Over 2.525.6%

Away & Over 2.524.6%

Home & BTTS21.2%

Away & BTTS20.4%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS17.5%

Away & No BTTS16.8%

Draw & Under 2.515.9%

Home & Under 2.513.0%

Away & Under 2.512.6%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.5%

HT Under 1.560.4%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Over 1.539.6%

HT Draw38.9%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Home Win31.0%

HT Away Win30.1%

HT Under 0.525.5%

HT Both Teams Score24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.9%

HT/FT Home/Home23.1%

HT/FT Away/Away22.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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