Italy · Serie B

Modena vs Hellas Verona

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Modena 41.5% Draw 38.6% Hellas Verona 19.9%

Over 2.5 - 19% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 22%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22%

Exact-score model probability

Modena

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Modena win41.5%

Draw38.6%

Hellas Verona win19.9%

Over 1.5 goals46.2%

Over 2.5 goals19.4%

Over 3.5 goals6.7%

Both teams to score28.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

85.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

83.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

83.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.6%

Draw No Bet - Home66.8%

Home or Away (12)64.4%

Draw or Away (X2)57.0%

Home Win43.0%

Draw35.6%

Exactly 1 Goal33.3%

Draw No Bet - Away33.2%

Both Halves Over 0.527.9%

Goal in Both Halves27.9%

Away Win21.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.5%

Under 4.5 Goals98.1%

Under 3.5 Goals93.3%

Under 2.5 Goals80.6%

Over 0.5 Goals78.0%

1-3 Goals71.2%

1-2 Goals58.5%

Under 1.5 Goals55.3%

Total Goals Even52.4%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

Over 1.5 Goals44.7%

2-4 Goals42.7%

2-3 Goals37.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.2%

Under 0.5 Goals22.0%

Exactly 0 Goals22.0%

Over 2.5 Goals19.4%

3-4 Goals17.5%

Exactly 3 Goals12.7%

Over 3.5 Goals6.7%

4+ Goals6.7%

Over 4.5 Goals1.9%

Over 5.5 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.5%

Home Team to Score61.1%

Home Clean Sheet56.6%

Away Team to Score43.4%

Away Clean Sheet38.9%

Home Win to Nil34.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.5%

Away Win to Nil16.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.561.1%

Away Exactly 056.6%

Away Over 0.543.4%

Home Exactly 038.9%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Home Over 1.524.3%

Home Exactly 217.3%

Away Over 1.511.2%

Away Exactly 29.2%

Home Over 2.57.0%

Home 3+ Goals7.0%

Away Over 2.52.0%

Away 3+ Goals2.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.9%

Home to win by 126.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 24.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.568.7%

Home & No BTTS34.5%

Draw & Under 2.533.9%

Home & Under 2.530.6%

Away & No BTTS16.9%

Away & Under 2.516.1%

BTTS & Over 2.514.7%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Home & Over 2.512.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

Home & BTTS8.5%

Away & Over 2.55.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.8%

Away & BTTS4.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.585.1%

HT Draw56.3%

HT Under 0.550.6%

HT Over 0.549.4%

Equal Goals Each Half36.4%

2nd Half More Goals36.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw28.6%

HT Home Win28.1%

1st Half More Goals27.4%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Away Win15.6%

HT Over 1.514.9%

HT/FT Away/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.7%

HT Both Teams Score7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions