Italy · Serie B

Modena vs Mantova

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Modena 61.8% Draw 19.1% Mantova 19.1%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Modena

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Mantova

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 3.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Modena win61.8%

Draw19.1%

Mantova win19.1%

Over 1.5 goals92.9%

Over 2.5 goals78.7%

Over 3.5 goals60.1%

Both teams to score73.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Home or Draw (1X)79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.576.3%

Goal in Both Halves76.3%

Draw No Bet - Home75.9%

Home Win62.5%

Draw or Away (X2)37.3%

Draw No Bet - Away24.1%

Away Win19.9%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals78.6%

Under 5.5 Goals75.8%

Over 3.5 Goals60.0%

4+ Goals60.0%

Under 4.5 Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals40.5%

Under 3.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals38.1%

2-3 Goals32.0%

Over 5.5 Goals24.2%

Under 2.5 Goals21.4%

1-2 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score77.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.8%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Home Win to Nil20.7%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.577.5%

Home Over 1.574.6%

Home Over 2.550.0%

Home 3+ Goals50.0%

Away Over 1.544.1%

Away Exactly 133.4%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Home Exactly 118.3%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.6%

Home to win by 3+24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 111.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.1%

Home & Over 2.552.9%

Home & BTTS41.8%

Home & No BTTS20.7%

Away & Over 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.1%

Away & BTTS14.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

Home & Under 2.59.6%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Away & No BTTS5.3%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Over 1.556.1%

HT Home Win48.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.543.9%

HT/FT Home/Home42.2%

HT Both Teams Score34.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw30.4%

HT Away Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT/FT Away/Away11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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