UEFA Europa Conference League

Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Monaco 2.0% Draw 9.4% FC Nordsjaelland 88.6%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

89%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 98% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 2.0% on the only losing outcome.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Nordsjaelland: 6 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.97 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

98%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

Only the uncovered result loses

Monaco

L D L D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

FC Nordsjaelland

W W W W L

Form 4-0-1 Goals 14:1 Scored/game 2.8 Conceded/game 0.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monaco win2.0%

Draw9.4%

FC Nordsjaelland win88.6%

Over 1.5 goals85.8%

Over 2.5 goals66.0%

Over 3.5 goals44.0%

Both teams to score30.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.2%

Away Win

88.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away97.2%

Draw or Away (X2)97.1%

Home or Away (12)91.2%

Away Win88.7%

Both Halves Over 0.566.3%

Goal in Both Halves66.3%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Home or Draw (1X)10.9%

Draw8.4%

Draw No Bet - Home2.8%

Home Win2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals87.4%

Over 1.5 Goals85.0%

Under 4.5 Goals74.7%

Over 2.5 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals56.1%

1-3 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals43.9%

4+ Goals43.9%

2-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.3%

1-2 Goals30.6%

Over 4.5 Goals25.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.3%

Under 1.5 Goals15.0%

Over 5.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.0%

Away Clean Sheet68.1%

Away Win to Nil64.8%

Home Team to Score31.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)30.0%

Home Clean Sheet4.9%

Home Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.7%

Away Over 1.580.0%

Home Exactly 068.1%

Away Over 2.557.8%

Away 3+ Goals57.8%

Home Over 0.531.5%

Home Exactly 125.9%

Away Exactly 222.2%

Away Exactly 114.7%

Home Over 1.55.6%

Home Exactly 24.9%

Away Exactly 04.9%

Home Over 2.50.7%

Home 3+ Goals0.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)88.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away71.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home70.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home49.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away49.7%

Away to win by 3+49.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away29.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home28.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.9%

Away to win by 221.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw14.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home10.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw8.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.1%

Home to win by 12.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 20.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS64.8%

Away & Over 2.563.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.539.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.1%

BTTS & Over 2.526.1%

Away & Under 2.525.3%

Away & BTTS23.9%

Draw & Under 2.57.1%

Draw & BTTS5.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Home & No BTTS1.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Home & Over 2.51.0%

Home & BTTS1.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Away Win68.5%

HT/FT Away/Away67.1%

HT Under 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.1%

HT Both Teams Score11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT Home Win4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Home/Home1.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions