UEFA Europa Conference League

Monaco vs SC Freiburg

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Monaco 46.1% Draw 18.9% SC Freiburg 35.0%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Freiburg: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Monaco

L D W D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

SC Freiburg

L W D W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:6 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monaco win46.1%

Draw18.9%

SC Freiburg win35.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.0%

Over 2.5 goals88.9%

Over 3.5 goals75.8%

Both teams to score85.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

92.0%

Away Team to Score

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.0%

Goal in Both Halves85.0%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.3%

Draw No Bet - Home56.7%

Draw or Away (X2)53.3%

Home Win46.4%

Draw No Bet - Away43.3%

Away Win35.4%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals88.6%

Over 3.5 Goals75.6%

4+ Goals75.6%

Under 5.5 Goals58.8%

Over 4.5 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals41.2%

2-4 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals30.0%

Under 3.5 Goals24.4%

1-3 Goals23.6%

2-3 Goals20.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.1%

Under 2.5 Goals11.4%

1-2 Goals10.5%

Exactly 2 Goals7.6%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.3%

Away Team to Score90.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.0%

Home Clean Sheet8.8%

Home Win to Nil8.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.4%

Away Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.3%

Away Over 0.590.9%

Home Over 1.575.8%

Away Over 1.569.4%

Home Over 2.551.6%

Home 3+ Goals51.6%

Away Over 2.543.5%

Away 3+ Goals43.5%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 121.4%

Home Exactly 117.6%

Away Exactly 08.8%

Home Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.1%

Home to win by 3+16.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.3%

Home & Over 2.542.7%

Home & BTTS38.2%

Away & Over 2.532.4%

Away & BTTS29.6%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Home & No BTTS8.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS5.8%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score47.1%

HT Home Win39.6%

HT Away Win32.4%

HT Under 1.532.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home30.2%

HT Draw28.1%

HT/FT Away/Away22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions