Mexico · Liga MX

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca

● LIVE 45' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Monterrey 30.8% Draw 23.9% CF Pachuca 45.3%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CF Pachuca: 5 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Monterrey

D L W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

CF Pachuca

L D W W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monterrey win30.8%

Draw23.9%

CF Pachuca win45.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.6%

Over 2.5 goals69.7%

Over 3.5 goals48.4%

Both teams to score70.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

87.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

87.7%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.4%

Both Halves Over 0.569.1%

Goal in Both Halves69.1%

Draw or Away (X2)68.1%

Draw No Bet - Away59.3%

Home or Draw (1X)53.5%

Away Win46.5%

Draw No Bet - Home40.7%

Home Win31.9%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.4%

Under 5.5 Goals84.5%

Under 4.5 Goals70.7%

Over 2.5 Goals69.7%

2-4 Goals58.1%

Under 3.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals48.8%

Over 3.5 Goals48.4%

4+ Goals48.4%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.0%

Under 2.5 Goals30.3%

Over 4.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals27.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.2%

Home Team to Score80.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.9%

Away Clean Sheet19.8%

Away Win to Nil17.1%

Home Clean Sheet13.8%

Home Win to Nil11.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.2%

Home Over 0.580.2%

Away Over 1.558.8%

Home Over 1.548.1%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Away Over 2.531.8%

Away 3+ Goals31.8%

Away Exactly 127.3%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.522.1%

Home 3+ Goals22.1%

Home Exactly 019.8%

Away Exactly 013.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 116.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 213.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.3%

Away to win by 3+12.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.3%

Away & Over 2.535.7%

Away & BTTS29.4%

Home & Over 2.523.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.5%

Home & BTTS20.8%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & No BTTS17.1%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

Home & No BTTS11.1%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.58.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.2%

HT Under 1.551.9%

HT Over 1.548.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Away Win37.2%

HT Draw34.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score30.5%

HT/FT Away/Away29.1%

HT Home Win27.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.8%

HT/FT Home/Home19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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