Mexico · Liga MX

Monterrey vs Club Tijuana

● LIVE 45' · 2:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Monterrey 52.2% Draw 27.4% Club Tijuana 20.4%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Monterrey

L W W D L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Club Tijuana

W D W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monterrey win52.2%

Draw27.4%

Club Tijuana win20.4%

Over 1.5 goals75.4%

Over 2.5 goals49.0%

Over 3.5 goals27.2%

Both teams to score51.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.4%

Under 4.5 Goals

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.0%

Home or Away (12)75.6%

Draw No Bet - Home71.0%

Home Win53.7%

Both Halves Over 0.553.1%

Goal in Both Halves53.1%

Draw or Away (X2)46.3%

Draw No Bet - Away29.0%

Draw24.4%

Away Win22.0%

Exactly 1 Goal18.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.8%

Over 0.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals87.2%

Over 1.5 Goals73.9%

Under 3.5 Goals72.8%

1-3 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Under 2.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals49.0%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Over 3.5 Goals27.2%

4+ Goals27.2%

Under 1.5 Goals26.1%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals7.2%

Exactly 0 Goals7.2%

Over 5.5 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.1%

Away Team to Score62.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.7%

Home Clean Sheet37.9%

Home Win to Nil30.7%

Away Clean Sheet18.9%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.1%

Away Over 0.562.1%

Home Over 1.549.6%

Away Exactly 037.9%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 131.5%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Away Over 1.525.3%

Home Over 2.523.4%

Home 3+ Goals23.4%

Home Exactly 018.9%

Away Exactly 217.8%

Away Over 2.57.5%

Away 3+ Goals7.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.6%

Home to win by 124.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.6%

Home to win by 3+12.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.539.4%

BTTS & Over 2.538.8%

Home & Over 2.531.8%

Home & No BTTS30.7%

Home & BTTS22.9%

Home & Under 2.521.9%

Draw & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

Away & Over 2.511.6%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Away & Under 2.510.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & BTTS10.2%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.4%

HT Under 1.566.8%

2nd Half More Goals43.2%

HT Draw41.4%

HT Home Win39.2%

HT Over 1.533.2%

HT/FT Home/Home33.2%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.6%

Equal Goals Each Half25.9%

HT Away Win19.4%

HT Both Teams Score18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.1%

HT/FT Away/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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