Mexico · Liga MX

Monterrey vs FC Juarez

● LIVE 45' · 4:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

Monterrey 95.7% Draw 3.5% FC Juarez 0.8%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 12.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Monterrey: 6 points versus 0 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.2%

Exact-score model probability

Monterrey

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Juarez

L L L

Form 0-0-3 Goals 1:7 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monterrey win95.7%

Draw3.5%

FC Juarez win0.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.5%

Over 3.5 goals71.6%

Both teams to score35.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

92.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.0%

Home or Draw (1X)95.1%

Home or Away (12)92.9%

Home Win92.0%

Both Halves Over 0.583.3%

Goal in Both Halves83.3%

Draw or Away (X2)3.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Draw3.0%

Draw No Bet - Away1.0%

Away Win0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals83.0%

Over 3.5 Goals68.7%

4+ Goals68.7%

Under 5.5 Goals66.6%

Over 4.5 Goals50.9%

Under 4.5 Goals49.1%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

2-4 Goals40.8%

Over 5.5 Goals33.4%

3-4 Goals32.1%

Under 3.5 Goals31.3%

1-3 Goals26.6%

2-3 Goals23.1%

Under 2.5 Goals17.0%

Exactly 3 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals12.2%

Exactly 2 Goals8.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.0%

Home Clean Sheet61.6%

Home Win to Nil60.9%

Away Team to Score34.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 061.6%

Away Over 0.534.4%

Away Exactly 127.3%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 1.57.1%

Away Exactly 26.1%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Away Over 2.51.0%

Away 3+ Goals1.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)92.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home84.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)75.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home71.0%

Home to win by 3+71.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away60.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home53.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away42.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home35.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away25.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home20.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.7%

Home to win by 17.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away3.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.6%

Home & No BTTS60.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.550.4%

BTTS & Over 2.532.6%

Home & BTTS31.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Home & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & BTTS2.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Over 2.50.5%

Away & BTTS0.5%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Away & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.2%

HT Home Win81.4%

HT/FT Home/Home80.6%

HT Over 1.565.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.534.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT Both Teams Score15.7%

HT Draw15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT Under 0.510.8%

HT Away Win2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Away/Away0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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