Mexico · Liga MX

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL

● LIVE 45' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Monterrey 79.6% Draw 10.3% Tigres UANL 10.1%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Monterrey: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Monterrey

L L W W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 13:10 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Tigres UANL

D D W L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monterrey win79.6%

Draw10.3%

Tigres UANL win10.1%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.0%

Over 3.5 goals87.2%

Both teams to score83.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.7%

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.4%

Goal in Both Halves91.4%

Draw No Bet - Home88.6%

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Home or Draw (1X)86.1%

Home Win76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)19.4%

Draw No Bet - Away11.4%

Away Win9.8%

Draw9.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals91.2%

Over 3.5 Goals83.7%

4+ Goals83.7%

Over 4.5 Goals71.9%

Over 5.5 Goals56.8%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals43.2%

Under 4.5 Goals28.1%

2-4 Goals22.8%

3-4 Goals19.3%

Under 3.5 Goals16.3%

1-3 Goals12.1%

2-3 Goals11.0%

Under 2.5 Goals8.8%

Exactly 3 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

1-2 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score80.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.1%

Home Clean Sheet15.1%

Home Win to Nil14.9%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 0.580.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.552.9%

Away Exactly 127.9%

Away Over 2.527.1%

Away 3+ Goals27.1%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 015.1%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away77.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away64.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.2%

Home to win by 3+47.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away32.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 15.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 22.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.5%

Home & Over 2.574.0%

Home & BTTS61.7%

Home & No BTTS14.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.7%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Away & Over 2.59.2%

Away & BTTS8.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.52.6%

Draw & Under 2.51.6%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.2%

HT Over 1.577.8%

HT Home Win65.1%

HT/FT Home/Home60.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.8%

HT Both Teams Score49.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.522.2%

HT Draw20.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT Away Win14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT Under 0.55.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.8%

HT/FT Away/Away5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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