Italy · Serie A

Monza vs Udinese

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Monza 24.1% Draw 27.1% Udinese 48.7%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Monza 1 wins, 3 draws, Udinese 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Monza

L W W D D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Udinese

D L L W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Monza 1wins ·3 draws ·Udinese 1wins

Monza 2-1 UdineseMay 11, 2025

Monza 1-2 UdineseDec 9, 2024

Monza 0-0 UdineseFeb 3, 2024

Monza 1-1 UdineseOct 29, 2023

Monza 2-2 UdineseApr 8, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Monza win24.1%

Draw27.1%

Udinese win48.7%

Over 1.5 goals68.9%

Over 2.5 goals89.5%

Over 3.5 goals21.6%

Both teams to score67.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

89.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.2%

Draw No Bet - Away88.1%

Home or Away (12)86.5%

Both Halves Over 0.577.6%

Goal in Both Halves77.6%

Away Win76.3%

Home or Draw (1X)23.2%

Draw12.9%

Draw No Bet - Home11.9%

Home Win10.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.3%

Over 2.5 Goals79.9%

Under 5.5 Goals74.0%

Over 3.5 Goals61.9%

4+ Goals61.9%

Under 4.5 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-4 Goals49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals42.6%

Under 3.5 Goals38.1%

3-4 Goals37.2%

1-3 Goals36.2%

2-3 Goals30.4%

Over 5.5 Goals26.0%

Under 2.5 Goals20.1%

1-2 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals12.5%

Under 1.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.2%

Home Team to Score68.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.9%

Away Clean Sheet31.5%

Away Win to Nil30.2%

Home Clean Sheet4.2%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.2%

Away Over 1.581.8%

Home Over 0.568.0%

Away Over 2.560.6%

Away 3+ Goals60.6%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 1.531.8%

Home Exactly 031.5%

Away Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 220.8%

Away Exactly 113.4%

Home Over 2.510.9%

Home 3+ Goals10.9%

Away Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home77.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)57.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away57.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home41.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.4%

Away to win by 3+38.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 219.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.7%

Home to win by 16.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.6%

Home to win by 22.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.565.3%

BTTS & Over 2.560.2%

Away & BTTS46.1%

Away & No BTTS30.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.7%

Draw & BTTS11.6%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

Home & Over 2.57.9%

Home & BTTS7.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.6%

HT Away Win59.5%

HT Over 1.557.7%

HT/FT Away/Away55.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.7%

HT Draw27.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.4%

HT Under 0.514.4%

HT Home Win13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Home/Home5.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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