Scotland · Premiership

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Kick-off 19:45 · Wed, Sep 2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Motherwell 60.4% Draw 22.7% Dundee Utd 16.8%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 83.1% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 16.9% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Motherwell: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Motherwell 3 wins, 1 draws, Dundee Utd 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

83.1%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

16.9%

Only the uncovered result loses

Motherwell

D L W D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Dundee Utd

L D D D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:11 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Motherwell 3wins ·1 draws ·Dundee Utd 1wins

Motherwell 2-0 Dundee UtdFeb 28, 2026

Motherwell 0-0 Dundee UtdDec 13, 2025

Motherwell 2-0 Dundee UtdOct 29, 2025

Motherwell 0-1 Dundee UtdFeb 22, 2025

Motherwell 4-3 Dundee UtdDec 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Motherwell win60.4%

Draw22.7%

Dundee Utd win16.8%

Over 1.5 goals76.1%

Over 2.5 goals51.5%

Over 3.5 goals29.4%

Both teams to score60.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.1%

Home or Away (12)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.2%

Draw No Bet - Home91.8%

Home or Away (12)88.2%

Home Win81.0%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Draw or Away (X2)18.5%

Draw11.3%

Draw No Bet - Away8.2%

Away Win7.2%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.1%

Over 2.5 Goals77.3%

Under 5.5 Goals77.2%

Under 4.5 Goals61.1%

Over 3.5 Goals58.4%

4+ Goals58.4%

2-4 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals41.6%

1-3 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals38.9%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals22.8%

Under 2.5 Goals22.7%

1-2 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score59.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.8%

Home Clean Sheet39.8%

Home Win to Nil38.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.582.4%

Home Over 2.561.5%

Home 3+ Goals61.5%

Away Over 0.559.6%

Away Exactly 039.8%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.523.2%

Home Exactly 220.8%

Away Exactly 216.7%

Home Exactly 113.0%

Away Over 2.56.5%

Away 3+ Goals6.5%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.2%

Home to win by 3+43.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 15.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.4%

BTTS & Over 2.552.4%

Home & BTTS42.8%

Home & No BTTS38.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.3%

Home & Under 2.513.5%

Draw & BTTS9.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

Away & Over 2.55.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Away & BTTS4.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.3%

HT Home Win63.1%

HT/FT Home/Home59.7%

HT Over 1.555.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw26.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Under 0.515.7%

HT Away Win10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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