UEFA Champions League

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Napoli 71.2% Draw 14.4% Bodo/Glimt 14.4%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bodo/Glimt: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Napoli

L L W D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Bodo/Glimt

W L W W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:11 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Napoli win71.2%

Draw14.4%

Bodo/Glimt win14.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.9%

Over 2.5 goals88.8%

Over 3.5 goals75.5%

Both teams to score79.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.6%

Both Halves Over 0.585.0%

Goal in Both Halves85.0%

Home or Draw (1X)84.3%

Draw No Bet - Home82.9%

Home Win70.9%

Draw or Away (X2)28.1%

Draw No Bet - Away17.1%

Away Win14.7%

Draw13.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.5%

Over 2.5 Goals87.9%

Over 3.5 Goals74.8%

4+ Goals74.8%

Under 5.5 Goals59.6%

Over 4.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals42.1%

Over 5.5 Goals40.4%

2-4 Goals37.6%

3-4 Goals30.0%

Under 3.5 Goals25.2%

1-3 Goals23.6%

2-3 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals13.1%

Under 2.5 Goals12.1%

1-2 Goals10.5%

Exactly 2 Goals7.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score80.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.0%

Home Clean Sheet18.6%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.585.4%

Away Over 0.580.4%

Home Over 2.566.9%

Home 3+ Goals66.9%

Away Over 1.549.3%

Away Exactly 131.1%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Over 2.523.3%

Away 3+ Goals23.3%

Away Exactly 018.6%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Home Exactly 110.6%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.0%

Home to win by 3+36.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 18.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.6%

Home & Over 2.565.5%

Home & BTTS52.9%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.3%

Away & Over 2.512.9%

Draw & BTTS12.8%

Away & BTTS12.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Home & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.2%

HT Over 1.567.5%

HT Home Win56.9%

HT/FT Home/Home51.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score41.9%

HT Under 1.532.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.2%

HT Away Win17.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT Under 0.59.8%

HT/FT Away/Away8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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