USA · Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire

● LIVE 22' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Nashville SC 83.7% Draw 9.1% Chicago Fire 7.2%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 11 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Nashville SC

D L D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Chicago Fire

L D D D W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nashville SC win83.7%

Draw9.1%

Chicago Fire win7.2%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.8%

Over 3.5 goals84.7%

Both teams to score78.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.8%

Under 5.5 Cards

90.3%

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home91.8%

Both Halves Over 0.590.1%

Goal in Both Halves90.1%

Home or Draw (1X)88.8%

Home or Away (12)87.7%

Home Win80.5%

Draw or Away (X2)15.5%

Draw8.3%

Draw No Bet - Away8.2%

Away Win7.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals90.0%

Over 3.5 Goals81.3%

4+ Goals81.3%

Over 4.5 Goals68.2%

Over 5.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals47.8%

Under 4.5 Goals31.8%

2-4 Goals26.2%

3-4 Goals21.8%

Under 3.5 Goals18.7%

1-3 Goals14.4%

2-3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals10.0%

Exactly 3 Goals8.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

1-2 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 2 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score75.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.2%

Home Clean Sheet20.3%

Home Win to Nil20.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.575.6%

Away Over 1.544.1%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 020.3%

Away Over 2.519.6%

Away 3+ Goals19.6%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away74.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home52.0%

Home to win by 3+52.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away44.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home35.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away28.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 112.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.1%

BTTS & Over 2.573.1%

Home & BTTS60.4%

Home & No BTTS20.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.9%

Draw & BTTS8.0%

Away & Over 2.56.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Away & BTTS6.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.4%

HT Over 1.575.5%

HT Home Win68.5%

HT/FT Home/Home64.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.3%

HT Both Teams Score43.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.5%

HT Draw19.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT Away Win11.8%

HT Under 0.56.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners83.0%

Under 10.5 Corners74.0%

Under 9.5 Corners62.6%

Over 8.5 Corners50.5%

Under 8.5 Corners49.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners44.4%

Home Most Corners43.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners43.6%

Away Most Corners42.6%

Over 9.5 Corners37.4%

Over 10.5 Corners26.0%

Over 11.5 Corners17.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards90.3%

Under 4.5 Cards79.4%

Under 3.5 Cards61.9%

Over 2.5 Cards60.4%

Under 2.5 Cards39.6%

Over 3.5 Cards38.1%

Over 4.5 Cards20.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.5%

Over 5.5 Cards9.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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