USA · Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Nashville SC 94.2% Draw 4.8% New York Red Bulls 1.0%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 35%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

94%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 14 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Nashville SC

D D W W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 14:2 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.33

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nashville SC win94.2%

Draw4.8%

New York Red Bulls win1.0%

Over 1.5 goals93.9%

Over 2.5 goals81.9%

Over 3.5 goals64.5%

Both teams to score34.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Home Over 1.5

88.9%

HT Over 0.5

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.7%

Home or Draw (1X)96.5%

Home or Away (12)93.6%

Home Win92.3%

Both Halves Over 0.579.2%

Goal in Both Halves79.2%

Draw or Away (X2)5.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Draw4.2%

Away Win1.3%

Draw No Bet - Away1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals80.0%

Under 5.5 Goals73.1%

Over 3.5 Goals63.0%

4+ Goals63.0%

Under 4.5 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

2-4 Goals47.5%

Over 4.5 Goals44.0%

Under 3.5 Goals37.0%

3-4 Goals36.1%

1-3 Goals33.6%

2-3 Goals28.5%

Over 5.5 Goals26.9%

Under 2.5 Goals20.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.0%

1-2 Goals16.5%

Exactly 2 Goals11.4%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.6%

Home Clean Sheet63.7%

Home Win to Nil62.6%

Away Team to Score34.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)33.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil0.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.9%

Home Over 2.574.5%

Home 3+ Goals74.5%

Away Exactly 063.7%

Away Over 0.534.0%

Away Exactly 127.3%

Home Exactly 214.3%

Home Exactly 17.1%

Away Over 1.56.8%

Away Exactly 25.8%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Away Over 2.50.9%

Away 3+ Goals0.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home82.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)82.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)68.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away68.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home66.3%

Home to win by 3+66.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away50.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home47.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away31.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home29.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home15.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away15.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 110.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away5.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 11.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 20.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.3%

Home & No BTTS62.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.548.6%

BTTS & Over 2.531.4%

Home & BTTS29.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.7%

Home & Under 2.514.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & BTTS3.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Away & Over 2.50.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Away & BTTS0.6%

Away & No BTTS0.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Home Win78.2%

HT/FT Home/Home77.2%

HT Over 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Under 1.540.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT Draw18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT Both Teams Score14.7%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT Away Win3.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.8%

HT/FT Away/Away0.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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