USA · Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union

Full time · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Nashville SC 80.0% Draw 10.5% Philadelphia Union 9.5%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 81%

✓ Pick was correct (0:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Philadelphia Union: 14 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 6.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Nashville SC

D W W W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 16:4 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Philadelphia Union

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 20:5 Scored/game 3.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Nashville SC 0wins ·1 draws ·Philadelphia Union 0wins

Nashville SC 0-0 Philadelphia UnionMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nashville SC win80.0%

Draw10.5%

Philadelphia Union win9.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.6%

Over 3.5 goals84.4%

Both teams to score80.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

90.6%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.8%

Goal in Both Halves

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.8%

Goal in Both Halves89.8%

Draw No Bet - Home89.2%

Home or Draw (1X)87.4%

Home or Away (12)87.1%

Home Win77.7%

Draw or Away (X2)19.1%

Draw No Bet - Away10.8%

Draw9.7%

Away Win9.4%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals90.6%

Over 3.5 Goals81.7%

4+ Goals81.7%

Over 4.5 Goals68.3%

Over 5.5 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Under 5.5 Goals47.7%

Under 4.5 Goals31.7%

2-4 Goals26.7%

3-4 Goals22.3%

Under 3.5 Goals18.3%

1-3 Goals14.9%

2-3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals9.4%

Exactly 3 Goals8.9%

1-2 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 2 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score79.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.1%

Home Clean Sheet17.8%

Home Win to Nil17.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 0.579.0%

Home Over 2.577.1%

Home 3+ Goals77.1%

Away Over 1.548.9%

Away Exactly 130.1%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Away Over 2.523.4%

Away 3+ Goals23.4%

Away Exactly 017.8%

Home Exactly 212.5%

Home Exactly 15.8%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)88.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away78.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away49.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.3%

Home to win by 3+47.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 113.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 15.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.1%

Home & Over 2.574.3%

Home & BTTS60.2%

Home & No BTTS17.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.5%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Away & Over 2.58.7%

Away & BTTS8.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.3%

HT Over 1.575.1%

HT Home Win65.1%

HT/FT Home/Home60.7%

2nd Half More Goals51.3%

HT Both Teams Score45.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.9%

HT Draw21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT Away Win13.9%

HT Under 0.56.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Away5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

Corners (12)

Away Most Corners78.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners75.7%

Under 11.5 Corners72.9%

Over 8.5 Corners63.3%

Under 10.5 Corners61.9%

Over 9.5 Corners50.5%

Under 9.5 Corners49.5%

Over 10.5 Corners38.1%

Under 8.5 Corners36.7%

Over 11.5 Corners27.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners25.1%

Home Most Corners13.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards88.4%

Under 4.5 Cards76.4%

Over 2.5 Cards63.9%

Under 3.5 Cards58.2%

Over 3.5 Cards41.8%

Under 2.5 Cards36.1%

Over 4.5 Cards23.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.2%

Over 5.5 Cards11.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions