USA · Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC

● LIVE 66' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

Nashville SC 89.9% Draw 6.6% Toronto FC 3.5%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 11 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Nashville SC

W D L D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Toronto FC

L L W D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:13 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Nashville SC 0wins ·0 draws ·Toronto FC 1wins

Nashville SC 1-2 Toronto FCSep 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nashville SC win89.9%

Draw6.6%

Toronto FC win3.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals91.0%

Over 3.5 goals79.5%

Both teams to score64.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Home or Away (12)

90.1%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.0%

Home or Draw (1X)92.4%

Home or Away (12)90.1%

Both Halves Over 0.587.4%

Goal in Both Halves87.4%

Home Win86.5%

Draw or Away (X2)9.5%

Draw5.9%

Draw No Bet - Away4.0%

Away Win3.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.4%

Over 3.5 Goals76.3%

4+ Goals76.3%

Over 4.5 Goals60.8%

Under 5.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals43.8%

Under 4.5 Goals39.2%

2-4 Goals32.6%

3-4 Goals26.5%

Under 3.5 Goals23.7%

1-3 Goals19.3%

2-3 Goals17.2%

Under 2.5 Goals12.6%

Exactly 3 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals8.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score62.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Home Clean Sheet33.9%

Home Win to Nil33.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.562.1%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Away Exactly 033.9%

Away Over 1.526.8%

Away Exactly 218.3%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 2.58.4%

Away 3+ Goals8.4%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)81.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away68.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home60.6%

Home to win by 3+60.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away52.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home43.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away35.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home27.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 110.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.580.8%

BTTS & Over 2.559.5%

Home & BTTS53.0%

Home & No BTTS33.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & BTTS5.5%

Draw & Over 2.53.7%

Away & Over 2.52.9%

Away & BTTS2.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Home Win74.4%

HT/FT Home/Home72.2%

HT Over 1.571.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score32.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.9%

HT Draw18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT Away Win7.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners76.5%

Under 10.5 Corners66.1%

Over 8.5 Corners59.3%

Under 9.5 Corners53.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners53.7%

Home Most Corners48.2%

Away Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Over 9.5 Corners46.2%

Under 8.5 Corners40.7%

Away Most Corners38.6%

Over 10.5 Corners33.9%

Over 11.5 Corners23.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards88.4%

Under 4.5 Cards76.4%

Over 2.5 Cards63.9%

Under 3.5 Cards58.2%

Over 3.5 Cards41.8%

Under 2.5 Cards36.1%

Over 4.5 Cards23.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.2%

Over 5.5 Cards11.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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