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UEFA Champions League

NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Aug 19
📊 Our Prediction
HT Over 0.5
53% confidence
NEC Nijmegen 53.0% Draw 15.0% Bodo/Glimt 32.0%
Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%
🎯 Best Pick
Both Teams Score (GG)
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
92%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is NEC Nijmegen win at 53.0%.
AI verdict (fallback)
Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5
NEC Nijmegen win
53%
1X2 model probability
Draw
15%
1X2 model probability
Bodo/Glimt win
32%
1X2 model probability
NEC Nijmegen
W W L D W L
Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17
Bodo/Glimt
W D
Form 1-1-0 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEC Nijmegen win53.0%
Draw15.0%
Bodo/Glimt win32.0%
Over 1.5 goals99.6%
Over 2.5 goals97.9%
Over 3.5 goals93.9%
Both teams to score95.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)
91.8%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)
91.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home
91.6%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.595.0%
Goal in Both Halves95.0%
Home or Away (12)82.4%
Home or Draw (1X)65.6%
Draw No Bet - Home62.3%
Home Win51.3%
Draw or Away (X2)45.3%
Draw No Bet - Away37.7%
Away Win31.1%
Draw14.3%
Exactly 1 Goal0.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals96.6%
Over 1.5 Goals96.2%
Over 2.5 Goals94.6%
Over 3.5 Goals90.8%
4+ Goals90.8%
Over 4.5 Goals83.5%
Over 5.5 Goals72.5%
Total Goals Odd48.3%
Total Goals Even48.3%
Under 5.5 Goals27.5%
Under 4.5 Goals16.5%
2-4 Goals12.7%
3-4 Goals11.2%
Under 3.5 Goals9.2%
1-3 Goals5.9%
Under 2.5 Goals5.4%
2-3 Goals5.4%
Exactly 3 Goals3.9%
Under 1.5 Goals3.8%
Under 0.5 Goals3.4%
1-2 Goals2.0%
Exactly 2 Goals1.6%
Exactly 0 Goals0.1%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score95.1%
Away Team to Score93.3%
Both Teams Score (GG)91.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)8.2%
Home Clean Sheet3.4%
Home Win to Nil3.3%
Away Clean Sheet1.6%
Away Win to Nil1.5%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.595.1%
Away Over 0.593.3%
Home Over 1.588.5%
Away Over 1.581.9%
Home Over 2.575.0%
Home 3+ Goals75.0%
Away Over 2.562.8%
Away 3+ Goals62.8%
Away Exactly 219.1%
Home Exactly 213.5%
Away Exactly 111.4%
Home Exactly 16.5%
Away Exactly 03.4%
Home Exactly 01.6%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.6%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.6%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.2%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.5%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)73.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away73.2%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.1%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.3%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.6%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.1%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.5%
Home to win by 3+23.5%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.1%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%
Home to win by 114.7%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%
Home to win by 213.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.9%
Away to win by 111.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.5%
Away to win by 3+10.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%
Away to win by 28.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.8%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.6%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.591.0%
Home & Over 2.550.6%
Home & BTTS48.0%
Away & Over 2.530.6%
Away & BTTS29.5%
Draw & BTTS14.2%
Draw & Over 2.513.4%
No BTTS & Over 2.53.7%
Home & No BTTS3.3%
Away & No BTTS1.5%
No BTTS & Under 2.51.3%
Draw & Under 2.50.8%
BTTS & Under 2.50.8%
Home & Under 2.50.7%
Away & Under 2.50.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.596.6%
HT Over 1.585.0%
HT Both Teams Score65.8%
2nd Half More Goals53.4%
HT Home Win46.1%
HT/FT Home/Home36.6%
1st Half More Goals32.2%
HT Away Win31.5%
HT Draw22.4%
HT/FT Away/Away20.1%
HT Under 1.515.0%
Equal Goals Each Half14.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away7.1%
HT/FT Away/Home6.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%
HT/FT Home/Away4.5%
HT Under 0.53.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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