Netherlands · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

Kick-off 15:45 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

NEC Nijmegen 49.9% Draw 23.4% GO Ahead Eagles 26.7%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to GO Ahead Eagles: 4 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

NEC Nijmegen

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles

D W L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 15:11 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

NEC Nijmegen 1wins ·1 draws ·GO Ahead Eagles 3wins

NEC Nijmegen 2-1 GO Ahead EaglesMay 17, 2026

NEC Nijmegen 1-1 GO Ahead EaglesOct 5, 2025

NEC Nijmegen 2-3 GO Ahead EaglesMar 9, 2025

NEC Nijmegen 0-5 GO Ahead EaglesDec 7, 2024

NEC Nijmegen 1-2 GO Ahead EaglesMay 23, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEC Nijmegen win49.9%

Draw23.4%

GO Ahead Eagles win26.7%

Over 1.5 goals88.4%

Over 2.5 goals98.1%

Over 3.5 goals48.1%

Both teams to score95.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.9%

Goal in Both Halves

90.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.9%

Goal in Both Halves90.9%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Draw or Away (X2)67.8%

Draw No Bet - Away62.6%

Away Win52.0%

Home or Draw (1X)46.8%

Draw No Bet - Home37.4%

Home Win31.0%

Draw15.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals93.6%

Over 3.5 Goals85.7%

4+ Goals85.7%

Over 4.5 Goals73.4%

Over 5.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals42.0%

Under 4.5 Goals26.6%

2-4 Goals24.0%

3-4 Goals20.2%

Under 3.5 Goals14.3%

1-3 Goals12.9%

2-3 Goals11.7%

Exactly 3 Goals7.9%

Under 2.5 Goals6.4%

1-2 Goals5.0%

Exactly 2 Goals3.8%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score92.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.2%

Away Win to Nil6.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.1%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 0.592.6%

Away Over 1.585.0%

Home Over 1.575.4%

Away Over 2.566.3%

Away 3+ Goals66.3%

Home Over 2.551.6%

Home 3+ Goals51.6%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 218.7%

Home Exactly 117.2%

Away Exactly 110.8%

Home Exactly 06.2%

Away Exactly 03.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.0%

Away to win by 3+22.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 116.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 213.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 112.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 28.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.8%

Away & Over 2.550.2%

Away & BTTS46.0%

Home & Over 2.529.8%

Home & BTTS28.1%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Away & No BTTS6.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.0%

HT Over 1.577.0%

HT Both Teams Score56.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT Away Win44.7%

HT/FT Away/Away35.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win30.4%

HT Draw24.9%

HT Under 1.523.0%

HT/FT Home/Home19.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.7%

HT Under 0.56.0%

HT/FT Home/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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