Netherlands · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

NEC Nijmegen 59.1% Draw 22.3% Telstar 18.6%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Telstar: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

NEC Nijmegen

D W L D D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Telstar

W W D W L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

NEC Nijmegen 0wins ·2 draws ·Telstar 0wins

NEC Nijmegen 1-1 TelstarMay 2, 2026

NEC Nijmegen 2-2 TelstarDec 13, 2025

🏥 NEC Nijmegen unavailable

P. Schuurs · Knee Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEC Nijmegen win59.1%

Draw22.3%

Telstar win18.6%

Over 1.5 goals86.7%

Over 2.5 goals89.8%

Over 3.5 goals44.5%

Both teams to score81.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Both Halves Over 0.579.5%

Goal in Both Halves79.5%

Home or Draw (1X)77.9%

Draw No Bet - Home73.6%

Home Win60.8%

Draw or Away (X2)39.0%

Draw No Bet - Away26.4%

Away Win21.8%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals82.4%

Under 5.5 Goals70.5%

Over 3.5 Goals65.6%

4+ Goals65.6%

Under 4.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals47.0%

Over 4.5 Goals46.6%

3-4 Goals35.8%

Under 3.5 Goals34.4%

1-3 Goals33.1%

Over 5.5 Goals29.5%

2-3 Goals28.1%

Under 2.5 Goals17.6%

Exactly 3 Goals16.8%

1-2 Goals16.2%

Exactly 2 Goals11.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.7%

Away Team to Score81.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.5%

Home Clean Sheet18.3%

Home Win to Nil17.2%

Away Clean Sheet6.0%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.7%

Away Over 0.581.4%

Home Over 1.576.8%

Home Over 2.553.0%

Home 3+ Goals53.0%

Away Over 1.550.4%

Away Exactly 131.0%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Over 2.524.1%

Away 3+ Goals24.1%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 018.3%

Home Exactly 116.9%

Home Exactly 06.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.4%

Home to win by 3+24.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 217.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.7%

Away to win by 111.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 26.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.2%

Home & Over 2.553.3%

Home & BTTS43.6%

Away & Over 2.518.3%

Home & No BTTS17.2%

Away & BTTS16.9%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.8%

HT Over 1.560.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Home Win48.3%

HT/FT Home/Home41.1%

HT Under 1.539.9%

HT Both Teams Score38.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.3%

HT Away Win22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT Under 0.513.2%

HT/FT Away/Away12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

NEC Nijmegen

P. Schuurs Knee Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

NEC Nijmegen win33%

Draw33%

Telstar win33%

AdviceNo predictions available

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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