Mexico · Liga MX

Necaxa vs Atlas

● LIVE 45' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Necaxa 38.7% Draw 18.6% Atlas 42.7%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlas: 3 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Necaxa

D L D L D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Atlas

D L L D L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Necaxa win38.7%

Draw18.6%

Atlas win42.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.4%

Over 2.5 goals90.1%

Over 3.5 goals77.9%

Both teams to score87.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.2%

Goal in Both Halves86.2%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)60.7%

Home or Draw (1X)56.7%

Draw No Bet - Away52.5%

Draw No Bet - Home47.5%

Away Win43.0%

Home Win39.0%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals89.8%

Over 3.5 Goals77.7%

4+ Goals77.7%

Over 4.5 Goals61.4%

Under 5.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals44.1%

Under 4.5 Goals38.6%

2-4 Goals35.2%

3-4 Goals28.4%

Under 3.5 Goals22.3%

1-3 Goals21.5%

2-3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals12.1%

Under 2.5 Goals10.2%

1-2 Goals9.4%

Exactly 2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals0.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.1%

Home Team to Score92.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.7%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Home Clean Sheet6.5%

Home Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 0.592.3%

Away Over 1.575.4%

Home Over 1.573.2%

Away Over 2.551.2%

Away 3+ Goals51.2%

Home Over 2.548.2%

Home 3+ Goals48.2%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Exactly 119.1%

Away Exactly 117.7%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Away Exactly 06.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.4%

Away to win by 3+14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 212.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.2%

Home to win by 3+12.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 211.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.9%

Away & Over 2.539.9%

Home & Over 2.536.1%

Away & BTTS36.1%

Home & BTTS32.9%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Draw & Over 2.513.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.9%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Home & No BTTS6.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.0%

HT Over 1.569.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score48.9%

HT Away Win37.5%

HT Home Win34.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.7%

HT/FT Away/Away27.7%

HT Draw27.6%

HT/FT Home/Home24.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.0%

HT Under 0.59.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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