Mexico · Liga MX

Necaxa vs FC Juarez

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Necaxa 83.6% Draw 10.1% FC Juarez 6.3%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 67%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Juarez: 2 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Necaxa

L L D L D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Juarez

L L L W L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Necaxa win83.6%

Draw10.1%

FC Juarez win6.3%

Over 1.5 goals96.1%

Over 2.5 goals87.0%

Over 3.5 goals72.5%

Both teams to score66.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.7%

Home or Draw (1X)91.8%

Home or Away (12)89.2%

Both Halves Over 0.583.4%

Goal in Both Halves83.4%

Home Win82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)15.7%

Draw9.2%

Draw No Bet - Away7.3%

Away Win6.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals85.5%

Over 3.5 Goals71.3%

4+ Goals71.3%

Under 5.5 Goals64.0%

Over 4.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Under 4.5 Goals46.4%

2-4 Goals40.6%

Over 5.5 Goals36.0%

3-4 Goals32.0%

Under 3.5 Goals28.7%

1-3 Goals26.4%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Under 2.5 Goals14.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score66.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.7%

Home Clean Sheet31.6%

Home Win to Nil30.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.2%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.8%

Home Over 2.571.8%

Home 3+ Goals71.8%

Away Over 0.566.8%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Exactly 031.6%

Away Over 1.530.9%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Home Exactly 216.0%

Away Over 2.510.5%

Away 3+ Goals10.5%

Home Exactly 18.4%

Home Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home68.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.0%

Home to win by 3+50.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home32.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.8%

BTTS & Over 2.562.2%

Home & BTTS51.8%

Home & No BTTS30.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Draw & BTTS8.5%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Away & Over 2.55.3%

Away & BTTS5.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Home Win67.0%

HT Over 1.565.3%

HT/FT Home/Home63.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Under 1.534.7%

HT Both Teams Score32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT Away Win10.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

Corners (12)

Home Most Corners87.9%

Under 11.5 Corners81.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners76.7%

Under 10.5 Corners71.6%

Under 9.5 Corners59.8%

Over 8.5 Corners53.3%

Under 8.5 Corners46.7%

Over 9.5 Corners40.2%

Over 10.5 Corners28.4%

Over 11.5 Corners18.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners10.9%

Away Most Corners6.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards86.3%

Under 4.5 Cards73.3%

Over 2.5 Cards67.1%

Under 3.5 Cards54.6%

Over 3.5 Cards45.4%

Under 2.5 Cards32.9%

Over 4.5 Cards26.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.8%

Over 5.5 Cards13.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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