Mexico · Liga MX
Necaxa vs Monterrey
📊 Our Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
96% confidence
Over 2.5 - 96%
BTTS - 92%
✓ Pick was correct (2–1)
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
High scoring teams
⚠️ AIs disagree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
Home or Draw (1X)
Necaxa home strength
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Necaxa and Monterrey have shown strong attacking threat, with Necaxa averaging 2 goals at home and Monterrey scoring 3 in their last match. Both teams have a high BTTS rate, indicating a likelihood of goals from both sides. The expected goals data also supports a high-scoring match. With key players likely to feature, the match promises to be entertaining. Necaxa's home advantage gives them an edge, but Monterrey's attacking prowess keeps them in contention. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the teams' scoring records and expected goals data.
Top Tip
Over 2
📈 Probability Breakdown
Necaxa win58.0%
Draw17.0%
Monterrey win25.0%
Over 1.5 goals99.6%
Over 2.5 goals96.0%
Over 3.5 goals93.8%
Both teams to score92.0%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Away Team to Score
90.8%
Away Over 0.5
90.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)
89.8%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.595.0%
Goal in Both Halves95.0%
Home or Away (12)82.7%
Home or Draw (1X)73.0%
Draw No Bet - Home72.7%
Home Win60.1%
Draw or Away (X2)35.5%
Draw No Bet - Away27.3%
Away Win22.6%
Draw12.9%
Exactly 1 Goal0.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.6%
Over 1.5 Goals95.1%
Over 2.5 Goals93.6%
Over 3.5 Goals89.7%
4+ Goals89.7%
Over 4.5 Goals82.4%
Over 5.5 Goals71.5%
Total Goals Odd47.8%
Total Goals Even47.8%
Under 5.5 Goals28.5%
Under 4.5 Goals17.6%
2-4 Goals12.7%
3-4 Goals11.2%
Under 3.5 Goals10.3%
Under 2.5 Goals6.4%
1-3 Goals5.9%
2-3 Goals5.4%
Under 1.5 Goals4.9%
Under 0.5 Goals4.4%
Exactly 3 Goals3.9%
1-2 Goals2.0%
Exactly 2 Goals1.6%
Exactly 0 Goals0.1%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score94.5%
Away Team to Score90.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)89.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)10.2%
Home Clean Sheet4.8%
Home Win to Nil4.7%
Away Clean Sheet1.1%
Away Win to Nil1.1%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.594.5%
Away Over 0.590.8%
Home Over 1.589.5%
Home Over 2.578.3%
Home 3+ Goals78.3%
Away Over 1.576.5%
Away Over 2.555.0%
Away 3+ Goals55.0%
Away Exactly 221.5%
Away Exactly 114.3%
Home Exactly 211.2%
Home Exactly 15.0%
Away Exactly 04.8%
Home Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (12)
Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.7%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.1%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.1%
Home to win by 3+31.1%
Home to win by 114.6%
Home to win by 214.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.9%
Away to win by 19.8%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%
Away to win by 3+6.5%
Away to win by 26.4%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.589.0%
Home & Over 2.559.3%
Home & BTTS55.4%
Away & Over 2.522.2%
Away & BTTS21.6%
Draw & BTTS12.8%
Draw & Over 2.512.1%
Home & No BTTS4.7%
No BTTS & Over 2.54.6%
No BTTS & Under 2.51.3%
Away & No BTTS1.1%
Home & Under 2.50.8%
Draw & Under 2.50.8%
BTTS & Under 2.50.7%
Away & Under 2.50.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.596.6%
HT Over 1.585.0%
HT Both Teams Score64.3%
2nd Half More Goals53.3%
HT Home Win53.1%
HT/FT Home/Home45.2%
1st Half More Goals32.2%
HT Away Win25.4%
HT Draw21.5%
HT Under 1.515.0%
Equal Goals Each Half14.3%
HT/FT Away/Away14.1%
HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%
HT/FT Away/Home6.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away5.4%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%
HT/FT Home/Away3.5%
HT Under 0.53.4%
🔎 API-Football Model
An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.
Necaxa win10%
Draw45%
Monterrey win45%
AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Monterrey and +1.5 goals
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.