Ethiopia · Premier League

Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Kick-off 11:00 · Fri, Jun 26

📊 Our Prediction

Draw

45% confidence

Negelle Arsi 38.0% Draw 45.0% Ethiopia Nigd Bank 17.0%

Over 2.5 - 12% BTTS - 20%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw

High draw probability

⚠️ AIs disagree

60%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring teams

75%

Home Clean Sheet

Negelle Arsi defensive strength

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Negelle Arsi and Ethiopia Nigd Bank have similar recent form, with both teams scoring and conceding few goals. Negelle Arsi's home defensive record is strong, with no goals conceded in their last three home matches. Ethiopia Nigd Bank's away form is poor, with few goals scored. Given the low scoring nature of both teams and the high draw probability, a draw is likely.

💡

Top Tip

The draw is the most likely outcome in this match

📈 Probability Breakdown

Negelle Arsi win38.0%

Draw45.0%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank win17.0%

Over 1.5 goals34.2%

Over 2.5 goals11.8%

Over 3.5 goals3.2%

Both teams to score19.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions