Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

NEOM vs Abha

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

NEOM 87.9% Draw 8.4% Abha 3.7%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 55%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to NEOM: 13 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

NEOM

W W L W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

Abha

L L L D L

Form 0-1-4 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEOM win87.9%

Draw8.4%

Abha win3.7%

Over 1.5 goals94.6%

Over 2.5 goals83.2%

Over 3.5 goals66.6%

Both teams to score54.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

Home Over 1.5

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.6%

Home or Draw (1X)94.5%

Home or Away (12)91.0%

Home Win87.0%

Both Halves Over 0.580.2%

Goal in Both Halves80.2%

Draw or Away (X2)11.5%

Draw7.5%

Exactly 1 Goal4.7%

Draw No Bet - Away4.4%

Away Win4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.7%

Over 2.5 Goals82.0%

Under 5.5 Goals70.5%

Over 3.5 Goals65.5%

4+ Goals65.5%

Under 4.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Over 4.5 Goals46.7%

2-4 Goals46.0%

3-4 Goals35.2%

Under 3.5 Goals34.5%

1-3 Goals31.9%

Over 5.5 Goals29.5%

2-3 Goals27.2%

Under 2.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals16.4%

1-2 Goals15.5%

Exactly 2 Goals10.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score54.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.8%

Home Clean Sheet44.0%

Home Win to Nil43.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.3%

Away Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.5%

Home Over 2.571.1%

Home 3+ Goals71.1%

Away Over 0.554.5%

Away Exactly 044.0%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Over 1.519.0%

Home Exactly 216.4%

Away Exactly 214.3%

Home Exactly 18.7%

Away Over 2.54.8%

Away 3+ Goals4.8%

Home Exactly 02.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)88.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away77.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home73.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away62.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)55.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home55.2%

Home to win by 3+55.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away43.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)36.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home36.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away25.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 12.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.575.8%

BTTS & Over 2.550.1%

Home & BTTS44.1%

Home & No BTTS43.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.4%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

Draw & BTTS6.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Over 2.53.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Away & Over 2.52.8%

Away & BTTS2.7%

Away & No BTTS1.3%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.2%

HT Home Win70.8%

HT/FT Home/Home68.5%

HT Over 1.561.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.8%

HT Under 1.539.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score24.8%

HT Draw21.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT Under 0.512.8%

HT Away Win7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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