Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq

Kick-off 16:40 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

NEOM 35.0% Draw 25.4% Al-Ettifaq 39.6%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to NEOM: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

NEOM

W W L W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

Al-Ettifaq

D W L L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

NEOM 0wins ·1 draws ·Al-Ettifaq 0wins

NEOM 1-1 Al-EttifaqMay 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEOM win35.0%

Draw25.4%

Al-Ettifaq win39.6%

Over 1.5 goals86.0%

Over 2.5 goals65.0%

Over 3.5 goals43.0%

Both teams to score67.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Both Halves Over 0.565.5%

Goal in Both Halves65.5%

Draw or Away (X2)63.7%

Home or Draw (1X)59.1%

Draw No Bet - Away53.0%

Draw No Bet - Home47.0%

Away Win40.9%

Home Win36.3%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.7%

Over 1.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals75.4%

Over 2.5 Goals65.0%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.0%

1-3 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.0%

4+ Goals43.0%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.0%

1-2 Goals31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.3%

Over 5.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.2%

Home Team to Score80.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.0%

Away Clean Sheet19.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.7%

Away Win to Nil16.3%

Home Win to Nil14.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.2%

Home Over 0.580.2%

Away Over 1.551.6%

Home Over 1.548.1%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Away Exactly 130.7%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Over 2.525.0%

Away 3+ Goals25.0%

Home Over 2.522.2%

Home 3+ Goals22.2%

Home Exactly 019.8%

Away Exactly 017.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 210.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.0%

Away to win by 3+9.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.2%

Home to win by 3+7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.1%

Away & Over 2.529.5%

Home & Over 2.526.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.1%

Away & BTTS24.6%

Home & BTTS22.1%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS16.3%

Home & No BTTS14.2%

Draw & Under 2.513.3%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.5%

HT Draw36.6%

HT Away Win33.1%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Home Win30.3%

HT Both Teams Score28.0%

HT/FT Away/Away24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Home/Home21.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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