Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

NEOM vs Al-Fateh

Kick-off 17:20 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

NEOM 83.4% Draw 13.5% Al-Fateh 3.1%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 30%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to NEOM: 13 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.5%

Exact-score model probability

NEOM

W W L W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

Al-Fateh

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

NEOM 0wins ·1 draws ·Al-Fateh 0wins

NEOM 2-2 Al-FatehMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEOM win83.4%

Draw13.5%

Al-Fateh win3.1%

Over 1.5 goals79.3%

Over 2.5 goals55.6%

Over 3.5 goals33.2%

Both teams to score29.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.0%

Draw No Bet - Home95.6%

Home or Away (12)87.8%

Home Win84.0%

Both Halves Over 0.558.3%

Goal in Both Halves58.3%

Draw or Away (X2)15.9%

Exactly 1 Goal15.9%

Draw12.1%

Draw No Bet - Away4.4%

Away Win3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.4%

Under 5.5 Goals92.6%

Under 4.5 Goals83.2%

Over 1.5 Goals78.6%

Under 3.5 Goals66.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.4%

Under 2.5 Goals44.5%

1-2 Goals38.9%

3-4 Goals38.6%

Over 3.5 Goals33.1%

4+ Goals33.1%

Exactly 2 Goals23.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals16.8%

Over 5.5 Goals7.4%

Under 0.5 Goals5.6%

Exactly 0 Goals5.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)71.0%

Home Clean Sheet68.4%

Home Win to Nil62.9%

Away Team to Score31.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.0%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Away Exactly 068.4%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Over 0.531.5%

Away Exactly 125.9%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Away Over 1.55.6%

Away Exactly 24.9%

Away Over 2.50.7%

Away 3+ Goals0.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home38.7%

Home to win by 3+38.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.7%

Home to win by 223.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 13.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS62.9%

Home & Over 2.552.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.7%

Home & Under 2.531.2%

BTTS & Over 2.523.8%

Home & BTTS21.1%

Draw & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & BTTS6.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.4%

Away & Over 2.51.4%

Away & BTTS1.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.0%

HT Under 1.562.4%

HT Home Win62.0%

HT/FT Home/Home60.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.2%

HT Over 1.537.6%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.527.0%

Equal Goals Each Half24.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.2%

HT Both Teams Score10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT Away Win5.5%

HT/FT Away/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions