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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Kick-off 17:30 · Thu, Sep 3
📊 Our Prediction
Home +4.5 (Handicap)
71% confidence
NEOM 71.2% Draw 17.6% Al Khaleej Saihat 11.2%
Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 60%
🎯 Best Pick
Home or Draw (1X)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
89%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
89%
Home Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
71%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Recent form leans to NEOM: 10 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
9.2%
Exact-score model probability
NEOM
L W W D L W
Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1
Al Khaleej Saihat
L D D L L L
Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:18 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEOM win71.2%
Draw17.6%
Al Khaleej Saihat win11.2%
Over 1.5 goals88.6%
Over 2.5 goals70.2%
Over 3.5 goals49.0%
Both teams to score59.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)
87.8%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)
87.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home
87.8%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)87.8%
Draw No Bet - Home85.7%
Home or Away (12)84.0%
Home Win72.0%
Both Halves Over 0.569.5%
Goal in Both Halves69.5%
Draw or Away (X2)27.9%
Draw15.8%
Draw No Bet - Away14.3%
Away Win12.0%
Exactly 1 Goal9.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals97.2%
Over 1.5 Goals87.6%
Under 5.5 Goals84.2%
Under 4.5 Goals70.2%
Over 2.5 Goals70.1%
2-4 Goals57.8%
Under 3.5 Goals51.1%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Over 3.5 Goals48.9%
4+ Goals48.9%
1-3 Goals48.3%
3-4 Goals40.3%
2-3 Goals38.6%
Under 2.5 Goals29.9%
Over 4.5 Goals29.8%
1-2 Goals27.1%
Exactly 3 Goals21.1%
Exactly 2 Goals17.5%
Over 5.5 Goals15.8%
Under 1.5 Goals12.4%
Under 0.5 Goals2.8%
Exactly 0 Goals2.7%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score92.6%
Away Team to Score63.1%
Both Teams Score (GG)58.5%
No Both Teams Score (NG)41.5%
Home Clean Sheet36.7%
Home Win to Nil34.1%
Away Clean Sheet7.2%
Away Win to Nil4.6%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.592.6%
Home Over 1.573.7%
Away Over 0.563.1%
Home Over 2.548.7%
Home 3+ Goals48.7%
Away Exactly 036.7%
Away Exactly 136.7%
Away Over 1.526.4%
Home Exactly 224.9%
Home Exactly 119.0%
Away Exactly 218.4%
Away Over 2.58.0%
Away 3+ Goals8.0%
Home Exactly 07.2%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.8%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.0%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.4%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.8%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.0%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.4%
Home to win by 3+30.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.2%
Home to win by 121.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.4%
Home to win by 220.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.9%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%
Away to win by 18.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%
Away to win by 22.9%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%
Away to win by 3+1.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
Home & Over 2.555.8%
BTTS & Over 2.551.6%
Home & BTTS37.9%
Home & No BTTS34.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.522.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.518.5%
Home & Under 2.516.2%
Draw & BTTS13.1%
Draw & Under 2.59.6%
Away & Over 2.58.1%
Away & BTTS7.5%
BTTS & Under 2.57.0%
Draw & Over 2.56.2%
Away & No BTTS4.6%
Away & Under 2.54.0%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.580.5%
HT Home Win54.5%
HT Under 1.551.4%
HT/FT Home/Home49.8%
HT Over 1.548.6%
2nd Half More Goals46.5%
1st Half More Goals32.0%
HT Draw31.4%
HT Both Teams Score25.1%
Equal Goals Each Half21.5%
HT Under 0.519.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home18.6%
HT Away Win14.1%
HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%
HT/FT Away/Away6.6%
HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%
HT/FT Away/Home3.8%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%
HT/FT Home/Away1.0%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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