Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Kick-off 17:40 · Mon, Aug 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

NEOM 9.4% Draw 12.5% Al-Qadisiyah FC 78.1%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 11 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

NEOM

W W D L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

NEOM win9.4%

Draw12.5%

Al-Qadisiyah FC win78.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.5%

Over 3.5 goals71.7%

Both teams to score71.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

89.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.2%

Draw No Bet - Away88.9%

Home or Away (12)87.5%

Both Halves Over 0.583.0%

Goal in Both Halves83.0%

Away Win77.7%

Home or Draw (1X)21.1%

Draw11.4%

Draw No Bet - Home11.1%

Home Win9.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals85.5%

Over 3.5 Goals70.9%

4+ Goals70.9%

Under 5.5 Goals64.5%

Over 4.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Under 4.5 Goals46.9%

2-4 Goals41.4%

Over 5.5 Goals35.5%

3-4 Goals32.5%

Under 3.5 Goals29.1%

1-3 Goals27.2%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

Under 2.5 Goals14.5%

1-2 Goals12.6%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score72.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.5%

Away Clean Sheet26.4%

Away Win to Nil25.6%

Home Clean Sheet2.8%

Home Win to Nil2.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.586.1%

Home Over 0.572.5%

Away Over 2.568.2%

Away 3+ Goals68.2%

Home Over 1.537.7%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Home Exactly 026.4%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Exactly 217.9%

Home Over 2.514.6%

Home 3+ Goals14.6%

Away Exactly 110.0%

Away Exactly 02.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)77.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home72.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away61.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home56.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away42.9%

Away to win by 3+42.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home37.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away26.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 218.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 16.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.5%

Home to win by 22.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.1%

Home to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.570.3%

BTTS & Over 2.566.9%

Away & BTTS52.1%

Away & No BTTS25.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Home & Over 2.58.1%

Home & BTTS7.7%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Home & No BTTS2.0%

Home & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.0%

HT Over 1.564.7%

HT Away Win62.1%

HT/FT Away/Away57.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Both Teams Score35.9%

HT Under 1.535.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.2%

HT Home Win13.5%

HT Under 0.511.0%

HT/FT Home/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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