USA · Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

New England Revolution 56.9% Draw 15.2% Chicago Fire 27.9%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is New England Revolution win at 56.9%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 10 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

New England Revolution win

56.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15.2%

1X2 model probability

Chicago Fire win

27.9%

1X2 model probability

New England Revolution

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Chicago Fire

L W L L D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:14 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 1

New England Revolution 1wins ·0 draws ·Chicago Fire 0wins

New England Revolution 2-1 Chicago FireSep 13, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

New England Revolution win56.9%

Draw15.2%

Chicago Fire win27.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.4%

Over 3.5 goals90.4%

Both teams to score92.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.0%

Goal in Both Halves93.0%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Home or Draw (1X)70.4%

Draw No Bet - Home67.1%

Home Win55.9%

Draw or Away (X2)42.0%

Draw No Bet - Away32.9%

Away Win27.4%

Draw14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.0%

Over 2.5 Goals94.4%

Over 3.5 Goals88.5%

4+ Goals88.5%

Over 4.5 Goals78.5%

Over 5.5 Goals64.9%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Under 5.5 Goals35.1%

Under 4.5 Goals21.5%

2-4 Goals18.5%

3-4 Goals15.9%

Under 3.5 Goals11.5%

1-3 Goals9.3%

2-3 Goals8.5%

Exactly 3 Goals5.9%

Under 2.5 Goals5.6%

1-2 Goals3.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 2 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score92.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.6%

Home Clean Sheet5.5%

Home Win to Nil5.4%

Away Clean Sheet2.0%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 1.588.0%

Away Over 1.576.5%

Home Over 2.572.6%

Home 3+ Goals72.6%

Away Over 2.553.6%

Away 3+ Goals53.6%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Away Exactly 115.9%

Home Exactly 215.4%

Home Exactly 17.9%

Away Exactly 05.5%

Home Exactly 02.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.0%

Home to win by 3+26.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 111.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.1%

Away to win by 3+8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.2%

Home & Over 2.554.6%

Home & BTTS50.5%

Away & Over 2.526.6%

Away & BTTS25.5%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Home & No BTTS5.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.3%

HT Over 1.580.8%

HT Both Teams Score60.1%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT Home Win48.2%

HT/FT Home/Home39.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win28.4%

HT Draw23.4%

HT Under 1.519.2%

HT/FT Away/Away17.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT Under 0.54.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners75.3%

Over 9.5 Corners64.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners63.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners62.3%

Under 11.5 Corners59.9%

Over 10.5 Corners52.0%

Under 10.5 Corners48.0%

Away Most Corners44.9%

Home Most Corners42.9%

Over 11.5 Corners40.1%

Under 9.5 Corners35.9%

Under 8.5 Corners24.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards94.9%

Under 4.5 Cards87.4%

Under 3.5 Cards73.1%

Under 2.5 Cards51.2%

Over 2.5 Cards48.8%

Over 3.5 Cards26.9%

Over 4.5 Cards12.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards10.5%

Over 5.5 Cards5.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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