USA · Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

Kick-off 21:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

New England Revolution 49.0% Draw 28.3% Houston Dynamo 22.7%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 66%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

66%

Market does not fully agree

New England Revolution

D W D L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Houston Dynamo

W W D D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

🏥 New England Revolution unavailable

L. Campana · Hamstring Injury

A. Farrell · Lower-Body Injury

I. Feingold · Lower-Body Injury

🏥 Houston Dynamo unavailable

Antonio Carlos · Knee Injury

J. Maurer · Concussion

📈 Probability Breakdown

New England Revolution win49.0%

Draw28.3%

Houston Dynamo win22.7%

Over 1.5 goals74.7%

Over 2.5 goals48.0%

Over 3.5 goals26.3%

Both teams to score52.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)75.7%

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Draw No Bet - Home67.6%

Both Halves Over 0.552.3%

Goal in Both Halves52.3%

Home Win50.5%

Draw or Away (X2)49.4%

Draw No Bet - Away32.4%

Draw25.2%

Away Win24.3%

Exactly 1 Goal19.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.1%

Over 0.5 Goals92.5%

Under 4.5 Goals87.8%

Under 3.5 Goals73.7%

Over 1.5 Goals73.1%

1-3 Goals66.3%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals44.5%

3-4 Goals35.8%

Under 1.5 Goals26.9%

Over 3.5 Goals26.3%

4+ Goals26.3%

Exactly 2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Over 4.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals7.5%

Exactly 0 Goals7.5%

Over 5.5 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.4%

Away Team to Score63.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.4%

Home Clean Sheet36.3%

Home Win to Nil28.8%

Away Clean Sheet20.6%

Away Win to Nil13.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.4%

Away Over 0.563.7%

Home Over 1.546.9%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 036.3%

Home Exactly 132.5%

Away Over 1.526.9%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Over 2.521.2%

Home 3+ Goals21.2%

Home Exactly 020.6%

Away Exactly 218.6%

Away Over 2.58.3%

Away 3+ Goals8.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.2%

Home to win by 124.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%

Home to win by 3+10.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.0%

BTTS & Over 2.538.6%

Home & Over 2.529.4%

Home & No BTTS28.8%

Home & BTTS21.7%

Home & Under 2.521.2%

Draw & Under 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Away & No BTTS13.1%

Away & Over 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

Away & Under 2.511.4%

Away & BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.568.9%

HT Under 1.567.4%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw42.1%

HT Home Win37.1%

HT Over 1.532.6%

HT Under 0.531.1%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT/FT Home/Home30.9%

Equal Goals Each Half26.2%

HT Away Win20.8%

HT Both Teams Score18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.6%

HT/FT Away/Away13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners77.0%

Under 10.5 Corners66.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners58.8%

Over 8.5 Corners58.7%

Away Most Corners56.4%

Under 9.5 Corners54.4%

Over 9.5 Corners45.6%

Under 8.5 Corners41.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Over 10.5 Corners33.4%

Home Most Corners31.0%

Over 11.5 Corners23.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.8%

Under 4.5 Cards72.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.9%

Under 3.5 Cards53.7%

Over 3.5 Cards46.3%

Under 2.5 Cards32.1%

Over 4.5 Cards27.5%

Over 5.5 Cards14.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.0%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

New England Revolution

L. Campana Hamstring Injury

A. Farrell Lower-Body Injury

I. Feingold Lower-Body Injury

Houston Dynamo

Antonio Carlos Knee Injury

J. Maurer Concussion

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

New England Revolution win10%

Draw45%

Houston Dynamo win45%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Houston Dynamo

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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