USA · Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs New York City FC

Kick-off 21:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

New England Revolution 53.3% Draw 24.6% New York City FC 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.1%

Exact-score model probability

New England Revolution

W L L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

New York City FC

L L D W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

New England Revolution win53.3%

Draw24.6%

New York City FC win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals83.4%

Over 2.5 goals60.8%

Over 3.5 goals38.4%

Both teams to score61.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.0%

Home or Draw (1X)76.6%

Draw No Bet - Home70.0%

Both Halves Over 0.562.2%

Goal in Both Halves62.2%

Home Win54.6%

Draw or Away (X2)45.4%

Draw No Bet - Away30.0%

Away Win23.4%

Draw22.0%

Exactly 1 Goal13.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals90.1%

Over 1.5 Goals82.1%

Under 4.5 Goals79.1%

Under 3.5 Goals61.6%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.7%

1-3 Goals57.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.3%

Over 3.5 Goals38.4%

4+ Goals38.4%

1-2 Goals34.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals20.9%

Under 1.5 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals9.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.6%

Away Team to Score69.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.2%

Home Clean Sheet30.1%

Home Win to Nil25.8%

Away Clean Sheet14.4%

Away Win to Nil10.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.6%

Away Over 0.569.9%

Home Over 1.557.8%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.7%

Home Over 2.530.7%

Home 3+ Goals30.7%

Away Exactly 030.1%

Home Exactly 127.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Home Exactly 014.4%

Away Over 2.512.0%

Away 3+ Goals12.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.2%

Home to win by 3+15.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 114.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.8%

Home & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.2%

Home & BTTS28.8%

Home & No BTTS25.8%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Home & Under 2.516.5%

Away & Over 2.515.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

Away & BTTS13.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS10.0%

Away & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.7%

HT Under 1.558.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Home Win41.3%

HT Over 1.541.3%

HT Draw37.2%

HT/FT Home/Home34.6%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.3%

HT Both Teams Score24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.4%

HT Away Win21.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners90.0%

Under 10.5 Corners83.2%

Under 9.5 Corners73.7%

Under 8.5 Corners61.6%

Home Most Corners46.3%

Away Most Corners39.3%

Over 8.5 Corners38.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners37.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners33.1%

Over 9.5 Corners26.3%

Over 10.5 Corners16.8%

Over 11.5 Corners10.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards84.1%

Over 2.5 Cards70.2%

Under 4.5 Cards70.2%

Under 3.5 Cards51.0%

Over 3.5 Cards49.0%

Under 2.5 Cards29.8%

Over 4.5 Cards29.8%

Over 5.5 Cards15.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions