USA · Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

New England Revolution 53.5% Draw 20.4% New York Red Bulls 26.1%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 73.9% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 26.1% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 10 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

73.9%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

26.1%

Only the uncovered result loses

New England Revolution

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

New England Revolution win53.5%

Draw20.4%

New York Red Bulls win26.1%

Over 1.5 goals93.5%

Over 2.5 goals80.1%

Over 3.5 goals62.0%

Both teams to score77.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.8%

Home Over 0.5

91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.577.4%

Goal in Both Halves77.4%

Home or Draw (1X)73.0%

Draw No Bet - Home66.9%

Home Win54.2%

Draw or Away (X2)45.6%

Draw No Bet - Away33.1%

Away Win26.8%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.6%

Over 2.5 Goals80.0%

Under 5.5 Goals74.0%

Over 3.5 Goals62.0%

4+ Goals62.0%

Under 4.5 Goals57.4%

2-4 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals42.6%

Under 3.5 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals37.4%

1-3 Goals36.5%

2-3 Goals30.7%

Over 5.5 Goals26.0%

Under 2.5 Goals20.0%

1-2 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals12.6%

Under 1.5 Goals7.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.8%

Away Team to Score82.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.0%

Home Win to Nil15.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.1%

Away Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.8%

Away Over 0.582.9%

Home Over 1.571.5%

Away Over 1.552.7%

Home Over 2.546.0%

Home 3+ Goals46.0%

Away Exactly 130.1%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.526.1%

Away 3+ Goals26.1%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 120.3%

Away Exactly 017.0%

Home Exactly 08.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.9%

Home to win by 3+18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.1%

Home & Over 2.546.4%

Home & BTTS38.6%

Away & Over 2.522.3%

Away & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Home & No BTTS15.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.8%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

Away & No BTTS6.7%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Away & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.5%

HT Over 1.557.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Home Win43.5%

HT Under 1.542.5%

HT Both Teams Score37.2%

HT/FT Home/Home35.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.9%

HT Away Win25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Away/Away16.0%

HT Under 0.514.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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