USA · Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

44% confidence

New England Revolution 39.9% Draw 16.1% Orlando City SC 44.0%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 99.3% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

99.3%

Chance of 2+ total goals

New England Revolution high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Orlando City SC high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

New England Revolution

W W L W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Orlando City SC

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

New England Revolution win39.9%

Draw16.1%

Orlando City SC win44.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.6%

Over 3.5 goals90.8%

Both teams to score93.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Cards

92.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.2%

Goal in Both Halves93.2%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Home or Draw (1X)54.9%

Draw No Bet - Away52.5%

Draw No Bet - Home47.5%

Away Win43.4%

Home Win39.3%

Draw15.5%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals94.9%

Over 3.5 Goals89.2%

4+ Goals89.2%

Over 4.5 Goals79.5%

Over 5.5 Goals66.1%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 5.5 Goals33.9%

Under 4.5 Goals20.5%

2-4 Goals18.0%

3-4 Goals15.5%

Under 3.5 Goals10.8%

1-3 Goals8.9%

2-3 Goals8.2%

Exactly 3 Goals5.7%

Under 2.5 Goals5.1%

1-2 Goals3.2%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 2 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score94.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.5%

Away Win to Nil3.4%

Home Clean Sheet3.0%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 0.594.8%

Away Over 1.584.7%

Home Over 1.583.2%

Away Over 2.566.3%

Away 3+ Goals66.3%

Home Over 2.563.6%

Home 3+ Goals63.6%

Home Exactly 219.5%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Exactly 111.6%

Away Exactly 110.5%

Home Exactly 03.5%

Away Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.0%

Away to win by 3+17.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 114.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.9%

Home to win by 210.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.6%

Away & Over 2.542.4%

Away & BTTS40.0%

Home & Over 2.538.4%

Home & BTTS36.4%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS3.4%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.4%

HT Over 1.581.2%

HT Both Teams Score61.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.6%

HT Away Win39.4%

HT Home Win36.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Away/Away29.1%

HT/FT Home/Home25.9%

HT Draw23.9%

HT Under 1.518.8%

Equal Goals Each Half15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.0%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT Under 0.54.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners78.7%

Under 10.5 Corners68.6%

Home Most Corners59.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners59.5%

Over 8.5 Corners56.6%

Under 9.5 Corners56.5%

Over 9.5 Corners43.5%

Under 8.5 Corners43.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners36.3%

Over 10.5 Corners31.4%

Away Most Corners28.0%

Over 11.5 Corners21.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards92.0%

Under 4.5 Cards82.2%

Under 3.5 Cards65.7%

Over 2.5 Cards56.7%

Under 2.5 Cards43.3%

Over 3.5 Cards34.3%

Over 4.5 Cards17.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards11.8%

Over 5.5 Cards8.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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