USA · Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

New England Revolution 46.2% Draw 19.6% Seattle Sounders 34.2%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

New England Revolution

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Seattle Sounders

W W D D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

New England Revolution win46.2%

Draw19.6%

Seattle Sounders win34.2%

Over 1.5 goals96.2%

Over 2.5 goals86.7%

Over 3.5 goals72.0%

Both teams to score83.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.4%

Away Team to Score

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.0%

Goal in Both Halves83.0%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Home or Draw (1X)65.0%

Draw No Bet - Home57.3%

Draw or Away (X2)53.1%

Home Win46.6%

Draw No Bet - Away42.7%

Away Win34.8%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.5%

Over 3.5 Goals71.9%

4+ Goals71.9%

Under 5.5 Goals63.5%

Over 4.5 Goals54.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals46.0%

2-4 Goals41.4%

Over 5.5 Goals36.5%

3-4 Goals32.5%

Under 3.5 Goals28.1%

1-3 Goals27.2%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

Under 2.5 Goals13.5%

1-2 Goals12.6%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.5%

Away Team to Score89.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.9%

Home Clean Sheet10.2%

Home Win to Nil9.5%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.5%

Away Over 0.589.6%

Home Over 1.573.5%

Away Over 1.566.3%

Home Over 2.548.5%

Home 3+ Goals48.5%

Away Over 2.539.7%

Away 3+ Goals39.7%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 123.3%

Home Exactly 119.0%

Away Exactly 010.2%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.7%

Home to win by 3+15.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 115.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.4%

Away to win by 3+9.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.6%

Home & Over 2.542.1%

Home & BTTS37.2%

Away & Over 2.531.2%

Away & BTTS28.3%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Home & No BTTS9.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Under 2.54.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.0%

HT Over 1.564.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Both Teams Score44.4%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT Under 1.535.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win31.6%

HT/FT Home/Home30.2%

HT Draw29.0%

HT/FT Away/Away21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%

HT Under 0.511.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners69.7%

Over 8.5 Corners66.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners59.5%

Under 10.5 Corners58.3%

Over 9.5 Corners54.2%

Away Over 4.5 Corners52.2%

Home Most Corners48.8%

Under 9.5 Corners45.8%

Over 10.5 Corners41.7%

Away Most Corners38.5%

Under 8.5 Corners33.3%

Over 11.5 Corners30.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards93.6%

Under 4.5 Cards84.9%

Under 3.5 Cards69.4%

Over 2.5 Cards52.9%

Under 2.5 Cards47.1%

Over 3.5 Cards30.6%

Over 4.5 Cards15.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards11.2%

Over 5.5 Cards6.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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