USA · Major League Soccer

New York City FC vs New England Revolution

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

New York City FC 40.2% Draw 22.1% New England Revolution 37.7%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 77%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

New York City FC

D D D L L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

New England Revolution

L W D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

New York City FC 0wins ·1 draws ·New England Revolution 0wins

New York City FC 1-1 New England RevolutionAug 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York City FC win40.2%

Draw22.1%

New England Revolution win37.7%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.0%

Over 3.5 goals59.1%

Both teams to score77.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.7%

Goal in Both Halves75.7%

Home or Draw (1X)61.4%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Home51.6%

Draw No Bet - Away48.4%

Home Win41.1%

Away Win38.5%

Draw20.3%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals77.9%

Under 5.5 Goals76.5%

Under 4.5 Goals60.4%

Over 3.5 Goals59.1%

4+ Goals59.1%

2-4 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals40.9%

Over 4.5 Goals39.6%

1-3 Goals39.3%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals22.1%

1-2 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.7%

Away Team to Score86.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet13.1%

Away Clean Sheet12.3%

Home Win to Nil11.5%

Away Win to Nil10.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.7%

Away Over 0.586.8%

Home Over 1.561.9%

Away Over 1.560.2%

Home Over 2.534.9%

Home 3+ Goals34.9%

Away Over 2.533.1%

Away 3+ Goals33.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.7%

Home Exactly 125.7%

Away Exactly 013.1%

Home Exactly 012.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.0%

Home to win by 3+11.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.7%

Away to win by 3+9.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.3%

Home & Over 2.534.2%

Away & Over 2.531.9%

Home & BTTS29.6%

Away & BTTS27.9%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Home & No BTTS11.5%

Away & No BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Home & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Over 1.555.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.6%

HT Both Teams Score36.6%

HT Home Win34.7%

HT Away Win33.0%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home25.6%

HT/FT Away/Away23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners90.0%

Under 10.5 Corners83.2%

Under 9.5 Corners73.7%

Under 8.5 Corners61.6%

Away Most Corners46.3%

Home Most Corners39.3%

Over 8.5 Corners38.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.1%

Over 9.5 Corners26.3%

Over 10.5 Corners16.8%

Over 11.5 Corners10.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards84.1%

Over 2.5 Cards70.2%

Under 4.5 Cards70.2%

Under 3.5 Cards51.0%

Over 3.5 Cards49.0%

Under 2.5 Cards29.8%

Over 4.5 Cards29.8%

Over 5.5 Cards15.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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