USA · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC

Kick-off 22:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

New York Red Bulls 54.0% Draw 21.3% Atlanta United FC 24.7%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlanta United FC: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Atlanta United FC

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

New York Red Bulls 0wins ·0 draws ·Atlanta United FC 1wins

New York Red Bulls 1-2 Atlanta United FCAug 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York Red Bulls win54.0%

Draw21.3%

Atlanta United FC win24.7%

Over 1.5 goals91.6%

Over 2.5 goals75.9%

Over 3.5 goals56.2%

Both teams to score73.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Home or Draw (1X)74.3%

Both Halves Over 0.574.0%

Goal in Both Halves74.0%

Draw No Bet - Home68.2%

Home Win54.9%

Draw or Away (X2)45.1%

Draw No Bet - Away31.8%

Away Win25.6%

Draw19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal7.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.6%

Under 5.5 Goals78.9%

Over 2.5 Goals75.8%

Under 4.5 Goals63.4%

Over 3.5 Goals56.2%

4+ Goals56.2%

2-4 Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.8%

1-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals39.2%

Over 4.5 Goals36.6%

2-3 Goals34.4%

Under 2.5 Goals24.2%

1-2 Goals22.2%

Over 5.5 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals14.8%

Under 1.5 Goals9.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.6%

Away Team to Score79.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.6%

Home Clean Sheet20.1%

Home Win to Nil18.2%

Away Clean Sheet9.3%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.6%

Away Over 0.579.8%

Home Over 1.568.5%

Away Over 1.547.6%

Home Over 2.542.3%

Home 3+ Goals42.3%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Over 2.521.7%

Away 3+ Goals21.7%

Away Exactly 020.1%

Home Exactly 09.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.4%

Home to win by 3+18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 27.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.3%

Home & Over 2.545.1%

Home & BTTS36.6%

Away & Over 2.520.2%

Home & No BTTS18.2%

Away & BTTS18.2%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.3%

HT Over 1.553.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.6%

HT Home Win43.3%

HT/FT Home/Home35.8%

HT Both Teams Score33.7%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win24.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT Under 0.516.7%

HT/FT Away/Away15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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