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USA · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami

Kick-off 22:30 · Sat, Oct 24
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
45% confidence
New York Red Bulls 44.8% Draw 20.4% Inter Miami 34.8%
Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 82%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
82%
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
80%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7%
Exact-score model probability
New York Red Bulls
L D L W L L
Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83
Inter Miami
D D W W L D
Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York Red Bulls win44.8%
Draw20.4%
Inter Miami win34.8%
Over 1.5 goals95.1%
Over 2.5 goals83.9%
Over 3.5 goals67.7%
Both teams to score81.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score
91.2%
Home Over 0.5
91.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)
90.6%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)80.8%
Both Halves Over 0.580.6%
Goal in Both Halves80.6%
Home or Draw (1X)64.4%
Draw No Bet - Home56.2%
Draw or Away (X2)54.5%
Home Win45.4%
Draw No Bet - Away43.8%
Away Win35.4%
Draw19.0%
Exactly 1 Goal4.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.9%
Over 1.5 Goals94.3%
Over 2.5 Goals83.8%
Under 5.5 Goals68.4%
Over 3.5 Goals67.6%
4+ Goals67.6%
Under 4.5 Goals51.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Total Goals Even49.9%
Over 4.5 Goals48.9%
2-4 Goals45.4%
3-4 Goals34.9%
Under 3.5 Goals32.4%
Over 5.5 Goals31.6%
1-3 Goals31.3%
2-3 Goals26.7%
Under 2.5 Goals16.2%
Exactly 3 Goals16.2%
1-2 Goals15.1%
Exactly 2 Goals10.5%
Under 1.5 Goals5.7%
Under 0.5 Goals1.1%
Exactly 0 Goals1.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score91.2%
Away Team to Score88.5%
Both Teams Score (GG)80.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)19.2%
Home Clean Sheet11.4%
Home Win to Nil10.4%
Away Clean Sheet8.6%
Away Win to Nil7.7%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.591.2%
Away Over 0.588.5%
Home Over 1.570.1%
Away Over 1.563.7%
Home Over 2.544.2%
Home 3+ Goals44.2%
Away Over 2.536.8%
Away 3+ Goals36.8%
Away Exactly 226.9%
Home Exactly 225.9%
Away Exactly 124.8%
Home Exactly 121.2%
Away Exactly 011.4%
Home Exactly 08.6%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.5%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.6%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.6%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.2%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.5%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.4%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.6%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%
Home to win by 117.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%
Away to win by 115.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.3%
Home to win by 3+14.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%
Home to win by 213.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%
Away to win by 210.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.2%
Away to win by 3+9.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.9%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.7%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.575.6%
Home & Over 2.540.0%
Home & BTTS35.0%
Away & Over 2.531.0%
Away & BTTS27.8%
Draw & BTTS18.0%
Draw & Over 2.512.8%
No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%
Home & No BTTS10.4%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%
Away & No BTTS7.7%
Draw & Under 2.56.2%
Home & Under 2.55.4%
BTTS & Under 2.55.2%
Away & Under 2.54.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.587.5%
HT Over 1.561.5%
2nd Half More Goals48.9%
HT Both Teams Score41.6%
HT Under 1.538.5%
HT Home Win38.2%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT Away Win31.7%
HT Draw30.1%
HT/FT Home/Home29.1%
HT/FT Away/Away21.9%
Equal Goals Each Half18.8%
HT Under 0.512.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%
HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%
HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%
HT/FT Away/Home4.3%
HT/FT Home/Away3.6%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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