USA · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

New York Red Bulls 30.3% Draw 31.7% Nashville SC 38.0%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.2%

Exact-score model probability

New York Red Bulls

L W L L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Nashville SC

W D L W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York Red Bulls win30.3%

Draw31.7%

Nashville SC win38.0%

Over 1.5 goals68.6%

Over 2.5 goals40.3%

Over 3.5 goals20.0%

Both teams to score48.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.7%

Draw or Away (X2)68.0%

Home or Draw (1X)60.3%

Draw No Bet - Away55.4%

Both Halves Over 0.546.2%

Goal in Both Halves46.2%

Draw No Bet - Home44.6%

Away Win39.7%

Home Win32.0%

Draw28.3%

Exactly 1 Goal23.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.0%

Under 4.5 Goals91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals80.0%

1-3 Goals69.9%

Over 1.5 Goals66.8%

Under 2.5 Goals59.7%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals40.3%

Under 1.5 Goals33.2%

3-4 Goals32.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 3.5 Goals20.0%

4+ Goals20.0%

Under 0.5 Goals10.1%

Exactly 0 Goals10.1%

Over 4.5 Goals8.3%

Over 5.5 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score70.7%

Home Team to Score65.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.4%

Away Clean Sheet34.3%

Home Clean Sheet29.3%

Away Win to Nil24.2%

Home Win to Nil19.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.570.7%

Home Over 0.565.7%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.534.7%

Home Exactly 034.3%

Away Exactly 029.3%

Home Over 1.529.0%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 219.6%

Away Over 2.512.6%

Away 3+ Goals12.6%

Home Over 2.59.4%

Home 3+ Goals9.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.4%

Away to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.7%

Home to win by 28.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.8%

Away to win by 3+5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.7%

Home to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.546.5%

BTTS & Over 2.533.2%

Away & No BTTS24.2%

Draw & Under 2.523.3%

Away & Under 2.519.9%

Away & Over 2.519.8%

Home & No BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & Under 2.516.5%

Home & Over 2.515.5%

Away & BTTS15.5%

BTTS & Under 2.513.2%

Home & BTTS12.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.3%

HT Over 0.564.4%

HT Draw45.7%

2nd Half More Goals41.6%

HT Under 0.535.6%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

HT Away Win29.5%

Equal Goals Each Half28.2%

HT Over 1.527.7%

HT Home Win24.8%

HT/FT Away/Away23.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.6%

HT/FT Home/Home18.1%

HT Both Teams Score16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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