USA · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 2

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

40% confidence

New York Red Bulls 35.0% Draw 25.0% Orlando City SC 40.0%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

72%

Away Win

Orlando's form

65%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC have a significant form gap, with Orlando City SC showing stronger attacking threat. The Red Bulls have struggled at home, scoring only 0.5 goals per game. Orlando City SC's recent wins will boost their confidence. With both teams capable of scoring, the match is likely to see goals. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 90.2% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Recent form leans to New York Red Bulls: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

90.2%

Chance of 2+ total goals

New York Red Bulls high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Orlando City SC high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

New York Red Bulls

L L W D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Orlando City SC

W W L D D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York Red Bulls win35.0%

Draw25.0%

Orlando City SC win40.0%

Over 1.5 goals90.2%

Over 2.5 goals73.0%

Over 3.5 goals52.3%

Both teams to score72.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.6%

Both Halves Over 0.571.6%

Goal in Both Halves71.6%

Draw or Away (X2)62.3%

Home or Draw (1X)59.0%

Draw No Bet - Away52.1%

Draw No Bet - Home47.9%

Away Win41.0%

Home Win37.6%

Draw21.3%

Exactly 1 Goal8.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.1%

Under 5.5 Goals81.8%

Over 2.5 Goals72.8%

Under 4.5 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals56.2%

Over 3.5 Goals52.3%

4+ Goals52.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals47.7%

1-3 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.8%

Over 4.5 Goals32.9%

Under 2.5 Goals27.2%

1-2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.5%

Home Team to Score84.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.9%

Away Clean Sheet15.7%

Home Clean Sheet14.4%

Away Win to Nil13.4%

Home Win to Nil12.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.5%

Home Over 0.584.2%

Away Over 1.557.6%

Home Over 1.555.2%

Away Over 2.530.6%

Away 3+ Goals30.6%

Home Exactly 129.1%

Home Over 2.528.3%

Home 3+ Goals28.3%

Away Exactly 127.9%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 015.7%

Away Exactly 014.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 211.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.7%

Home to win by 3+8.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.9%

Away & Over 2.532.4%

Home & Over 2.529.6%

Away & BTTS27.6%

Home & BTTS25.5%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.0%

Away & No BTTS13.4%

Home & No BTTS12.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Away & Under 2.58.6%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.8%

HT Over 1.550.8%

HT Under 1.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

HT Away Win34.1%

HT Draw34.0%

HT Both Teams Score32.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Home Win31.9%

HT/FT Away/Away25.3%

HT/FT Home/Home23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Under 0.518.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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