USA · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

New York Red Bulls 50.1% Draw 21.6% San Diego 28.3%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to San Diego: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

San Diego

D L L L W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York Red Bulls win50.1%

Draw21.6%

San Diego win28.3%

Over 1.5 goals92.2%

Over 2.5 goals77.0%

Over 3.5 goals57.7%

Both teams to score75.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.2%

Home Team to Score

90.1%

Home Over 0.5

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Both Halves Over 0.574.9%

Goal in Both Halves74.9%

Home or Draw (1X)70.8%

Draw No Bet - Home63.6%

Home Win51.0%

Draw or Away (X2)48.9%

Draw No Bet - Away36.4%

Away Win29.1%

Draw19.8%

Exactly 1 Goal7.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals77.7%

Over 2.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals61.8%

Over 3.5 Goals57.7%

4+ Goals57.7%

2-4 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals42.3%

1-3 Goals40.5%

3-4 Goals38.8%

Over 4.5 Goals38.2%

2-3 Goals33.5%

Under 2.5 Goals23.0%

Over 5.5 Goals22.3%

1-2 Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.1%

Away Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.5%

Home Win to Nil15.8%

Away Clean Sheet9.8%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.1%

Away Over 0.582.4%

Home Over 1.567.3%

Away Over 1.551.9%

Home Over 2.540.8%

Home 3+ Goals40.8%

Away Exactly 130.5%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.525.3%

Away 3+ Goals25.3%

Home Exactly 122.8%

Away Exactly 017.5%

Home Exactly 09.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.2%

Home to win by 3+16.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 215.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 28.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.8%

Away to win by 3+5.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.3%

Home & Over 2.542.3%

Home & BTTS35.2%

Away & Over 2.523.5%

Away & BTTS21.0%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.0%

Home & No BTTS15.8%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.58.6%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.9%

HT Over 1.554.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.5%

HT Home Win40.9%

HT Both Teams Score35.2%

HT/FT Home/Home32.8%

HT Draw32.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT/FT Away/Away17.4%

HT Under 0.516.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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