USA · Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

New York Red Bulls 21.1% Draw 17.7% St. Louis City 61.2%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 4 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

St. Louis City

W W D W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 17:10 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

New York Red Bulls win21.1%

Draw17.7%

St. Louis City win61.2%

Over 1.5 goals95.7%

Over 2.5 goals85.4%

Over 3.5 goals70.0%

Both teams to score79.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.4%

HT Over 0.5

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Both Halves Over 0.581.9%

Goal in Both Halves81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)78.1%

Draw No Bet - Away74.0%

Away Win61.6%

Home or Draw (1X)38.1%

Draw No Bet - Home26.0%

Home Win21.6%

Draw16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals85.1%

Over 3.5 Goals69.8%

4+ Goals69.8%

Under 5.5 Goals66.0%

Over 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals48.5%

2-4 Goals43.3%

Over 5.5 Goals34.0%

3-4 Goals33.6%

Under 3.5 Goals30.2%

1-3 Goals29.0%

2-3 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

Under 2.5 Goals14.9%

1-2 Goals13.7%

Exactly 2 Goals9.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

Home Team to Score83.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.2%

Away Clean Sheet16.5%

Away Win to Nil15.7%

Home Clean Sheet5.1%

Home Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 0.583.1%

Away Over 1.579.4%

Away Over 2.556.8%

Away 3+ Goals56.8%

Home Over 1.553.4%

Home Exactly 129.7%

Home Over 2.526.7%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home 3+ Goals26.7%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 016.5%

Away Exactly 115.2%

Away Exactly 05.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.9%

Away to win by 3+25.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 216.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 111.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.2%

Home to win by 26.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.1%

Home to win by 3+4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.3%

Away & Over 2.555.3%

Away & BTTS45.9%

Home & Over 2.518.7%

Home & BTTS17.3%

Away & No BTTS15.7%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Away & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & No BTTS4.3%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.3%

HT Over 1.563.2%

HT Away Win49.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT/FT Away/Away42.0%

HT Both Teams Score40.9%

HT Under 1.536.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.2%

HT Home Win22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.8%

HT/FT Home/Home12.7%

HT Under 0.511.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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