England · League Cup

Newcastle vs West Brom

Kick-off 19:45 · Wed, Aug 26

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Newcastle 26.4% Draw 15.8% West Brom 57.8%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to West Brom: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.3%

Exact-score model probability

Newcastle

D L W D W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

West Brom

W W W L

Form 3-0-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Newcastle win26.4%

Draw15.8%

West Brom win57.8%

Over 1.5 goals98.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.7%

Over 3.5 goals86.6%

Both teams to score90.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.9%

Goal in Both Halves90.9%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Draw or Away (X2)72.3%

Draw No Bet - Away68.6%

Away Win57.3%

Home or Draw (1X)41.3%

Draw No Bet - Home31.4%

Home Win26.3%

Draw15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.4%

Over 3.5 Goals85.4%

4+ Goals85.4%

Over 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 5.5 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 5.5 Goals42.4%

Under 4.5 Goals27.0%

2-4 Goals24.1%

3-4 Goals20.3%

Under 3.5 Goals14.6%

1-3 Goals13.0%

2-3 Goals11.8%

Exactly 3 Goals7.9%

Under 2.5 Goals6.6%

1-2 Goals5.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.8%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score91.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.2%

Away Clean Sheet7.4%

Away Win to Nil7.2%

Home Clean Sheet2.6%

Home Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 0.591.2%

Away Over 1.586.4%

Home Over 1.572.0%

Away Over 2.569.1%

Away 3+ Goals69.1%

Home Over 2.547.1%

Home 3+ Goals47.1%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 119.2%

Away Exactly 217.4%

Away Exactly 19.5%

Home Exactly 07.4%

Away Exactly 02.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home72.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away26.1%

Away to win by 3+26.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 214.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 111.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 27.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.1%

Home to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.9%

Away & Over 2.555.3%

Away & BTTS50.1%

Home & Over 2.525.1%

Home & BTTS23.8%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

Away & No BTTS7.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & No BTTS2.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Home & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.9%

HT Over 1.576.9%

HT Both Teams Score55.4%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT Away Win48.4%

HT/FT Away/Away40.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win27.1%

HT Draw24.5%

HT Under 1.523.1%

HT/FT Home/Home16.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.7%

HT Under 0.56.1%

HT/FT Home/Away6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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