France · Ligue 1

Nice vs Rennes

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Oct 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Nice 34.7% Draw 26.5% Rennes 38.8%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rennes: 10 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Nice

W L W W L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Rennes

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Nice 2wins ·0 draws ·Rennes 3wins

Nice 0-4 RennesMar 8, 2026

Nice 2-1 RennesOct 26, 2025

Nice 0-2 RennesMay 10, 2025

Nice 3-2 RennesJan 3, 2025

Nice 0-2 RennesJan 13, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nice win34.7%

Draw26.5%

Rennes win38.8%

Over 1.5 goals78.8%

Over 2.5 goals88.7%

Over 3.5 goals32.3%

Both teams to score81.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Both Halves Over 0.578.5%

Goal in Both Halves78.5%

Home or Draw (1X)72.3%

Draw No Bet - Home66.1%

Home Win53.7%

Draw or Away (X2)46.2%

Draw No Bet - Away33.9%

Away Win27.5%

Draw18.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.3%

Under 5.5 Goals72.2%

Over 3.5 Goals63.9%

4+ Goals63.9%

Under 4.5 Goals55.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.5%

Over 4.5 Goals44.7%

3-4 Goals36.6%

Under 3.5 Goals36.1%

1-3 Goals34.7%

2-3 Goals29.3%

Over 5.5 Goals27.8%

Under 2.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.4%

1-2 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.1%

Away Team to Score84.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.5%

Home Clean Sheet15.9%

Home Win to Nil14.7%

Away Clean Sheet7.7%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 0.584.0%

Home Over 1.572.4%

Away Over 1.554.8%

Home Over 2.547.0%

Home 3+ Goals47.0%

Away Exactly 129.2%

Away Over 2.527.9%

Away 3+ Goals27.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 119.8%

Away Exactly 015.9%

Home Exactly 07.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.9%

Home to win by 3+18.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.7%

Away to win by 3+5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.7%

Home & Over 2.546.5%

Home & BTTS39.0%

Away & Over 2.523.2%

Away & BTTS21.0%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Home & No BTTS14.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

Home & Under 2.57.2%

Draw & Under 2.57.0%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.2%

HT Over 1.558.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Home Win43.3%

HT Under 1.541.2%

HT Both Teams Score38.5%

HT/FT Home/Home35.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.5%

HT Away Win26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Away/Away16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT Under 0.513.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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