France · Ligue 1

Nice vs Strasbourg

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Nice 35.5% Draw 26.3% Strasbourg 38.1%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Strasbourg: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Nice

W L D L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Strasbourg

L D W W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 15:14 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

Nice 2wins ·2 draws ·Strasbourg 1wins

Nice 1-3 StrasbourgApr 4, 2026

Nice 1-1 StrasbourgJan 3, 2026

Nice 2-2 StrasbourgApr 12, 2025

Nice 2-1 StrasbourgNov 24, 2024

Nice 3-1 StrasbourgApr 28, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nice win35.5%

Draw26.3%

Strasbourg win38.1%

Over 1.5 goals79.1%

Over 2.5 goals80.9%

Over 3.5 goals32.7%

Both teams to score75.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.9%

Home Over 0.5

90.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Home or Draw (1X)76.2%

Both Halves Over 0.573.5%

Goal in Both Halves73.5%

Draw No Bet - Home70.6%

Home Win57.0%

Draw or Away (X2)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Away29.4%

Away Win23.7%

Draw19.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.3%

Under 5.5 Goals79.6%

Over 2.5 Goals75.1%

Under 4.5 Goals64.2%

Over 3.5 Goals55.3%

4+ Goals55.3%

2-4 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.7%

1-3 Goals42.7%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.8%

2-3 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals24.9%

1-2 Goals22.8%

Over 5.5 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.9%

Away Team to Score78.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.8%

Home Clean Sheet21.7%

Home Win to Nil19.7%

Away Clean Sheet9.0%

Away Win to Nil7.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.9%

Away Over 0.578.2%

Home Over 1.569.3%

Away Over 1.545.1%

Home Over 2.543.2%

Home 3+ Goals43.2%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 121.7%

Away Exactly 021.7%

Away Over 2.519.8%

Away 3+ Goals19.8%

Home Exactly 09.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.7%

Home to win by 3+19.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 113.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.7%

Away to win by 26.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.0%

Home & Over 2.546.7%

Home & BTTS37.3%

Home & No BTTS19.7%

Away & Over 2.518.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.6%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & BTTS16.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.2%

Home & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Away & No BTTS7.0%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.0%

HT Over 1.552.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Under 1.547.1%

HT Home Win44.7%

HT/FT Home/Home37.4%

HT Both Teams Score32.9%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT Under 0.517.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT/FT Away/Away13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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