England · Championship

Norwich vs Birmingham

Kick-off 19:45 · Wed, Sep 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Norwich 34.0% Draw 21.6% Birmingham 44.4%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Norwich: 9 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Norwich

W L W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Birmingham

D D W L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Norwich win34.0%

Draw21.6%

Birmingham win44.4%

Over 1.5 goals93.2%

Over 2.5 goals79.2%

Over 3.5 goals60.8%

Both teams to score77.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.6%

Away Team to Score

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.576.7%

Goal in Both Halves76.7%

Draw or Away (X2)65.1%

Draw No Bet - Away56.5%

Home or Draw (1X)54.7%

Away Win45.2%

Draw No Bet - Home43.5%

Home Win34.8%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.3%

Over 2.5 Goals79.2%

Under 5.5 Goals75.0%

Over 3.5 Goals60.8%

4+ Goals60.8%

Under 4.5 Goals58.6%

2-4 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 4.5 Goals41.4%

Under 3.5 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals37.8%

1-3 Goals37.7%

2-3 Goals31.5%

Over 5.5 Goals25.0%

Under 2.5 Goals20.8%

1-2 Goals19.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals13.1%

Under 1.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.4%

Home Team to Score86.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.1%

Away Clean Sheet13.9%

Away Win to Nil12.4%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Home Win to Nil9.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.4%

Home Over 0.586.0%

Away Over 1.565.7%

Home Over 1.558.6%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Home Over 2.531.5%

Home 3+ Goals31.5%

Home Exactly 127.4%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 013.9%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.3%

Away to win by 213.3%

Away to win by 3+13.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.3%

Home to win by 3+8.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.4%

Away & Over 2.538.2%

Away & BTTS32.7%

Home & Over 2.529.0%

Home & BTTS25.7%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.2%

Away & No BTTS12.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.0%

Home & No BTTS9.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.0%

HT Over 1.556.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.4%

HT Away Win37.5%

HT Both Teams Score37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.7%

HT Home Win30.8%

HT/FT Away/Away28.6%

HT/FT Home/Home21.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.7%

HT Under 0.515.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions